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Home/ All Articles/ Modeling of the Number of Cold Fronts in Cuba Using the Objective Regressive Regression (R…

Abstract & Article Details

Review Article • Vol.2, Issue 9 • ISSN: 2766-2276 • Open Access • CC BY 4.0

Open Access Review Article Vol.2, Issue 9 September 30, 2021

Modeling of the Number of Cold Fronts in Cuba Using the Objective Regressive Regression (ROR) Methodology; Impact of Sunspots

DOI: 10.37871/jbres1325
Authors
Ricardo Oses Rodriguez*, Rigoberto Fimia Duarte and Alfredo Gonzalez Meneses
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Abstract

The objective of this work is to model the variable number of cold fronts that affect the Cuban territory in a winter season for a long series of data, to establish if the trend is significant and to see which are the main statistics of the model, to observe the impact of prediction using the number of sunspots with the help of Objective Regressive ROR modeling. In this work, the series of cold fronts per season that affect the Cuban territory was modeled in the years from the 1916-1917 seasons to the 2006-2007 seasons. There are more moderate cold fronts than any other front, on average there are more classic fronts than any other type, on average 19 fronts can be presented per season with a standard deviation of 4.8 Sunspots and they only have a significant linear correlation with sunspots. In moderate fronts, as the stains increase, the number of fronts decreases. The ROR model explains 98% of the variance with an error of 4.2 cases and depends on the fronts returned in 5 seasons, which could coincide with the ENSO event, and also depends on the number of sunspots returned in 12 years. From 1916-1917 approximately the 1952-1953 season, moderate fronts predominated, later from 1953-1954 to the end of the data, weak fronts predominate over the rest with some exceptions throughout history. No significant trend was observed in the model. It is concluded that forecasts of the number of cold fronts can be made with the variable number of sunspots.

Research Topics

How to Cite

Ricardo Oses Rodriguez*, Rigoberto Fimia Duarte and Alfredo Gonzalez Meneses (2021). Modeling of the Number of Cold Fronts in Cuba Using the Objective Regressive Regression (ROR) Methodology; Impact of Sunspots. Journal of Biomedical Research & Environmental Sciences, 2(9). https://doi.org/10.37871/jbres1325

Article Information

JournalJournal of Biomedical Research & Environmental Sciences (JBRES)
ISSN2766-2276
DOI DOI 10.37871/jbres1325
Volume / IssueVol. 2, Issue 9
PublishedSeptember 30, 2021
Article TypeReview Article
Pages870-875
LicenseCC BY 4.0 — Open Access
PublisherSciRes Literature LLC, Sheridan, WY, USA
LanguageEnglish
Creative Commons BY 4.0

Published under CC BY 4.0 — free to share, copy, adapt, and redistribute with attribution.

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