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ISSN: 2766-2276
Medicine Group . 2022 January 31;3(1):114-139. doi: 10.37871/jbres1410.

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open access journal Research Article

New COVID-19 Pandemic Waves Caused by Omicron and Efficiency of Vaccinations

Igor Nesteruk1,2* and Oleksii Rodionov3

1Institute of Hydromechanics, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine
2Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine
3Private consulting office, Kyiv, Ukraine
*Corresponding author: Igor Nesteruk, Institute of Hydromechanics, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine E-mail:
Received: 27 January 2022 | Accepted: 31 January 2022 | Published: 31 January 2022
How to cite this article: Nesteruk I, Rodionov O. New COVID-19 Pandemic Waves Caused by Omicron and Efficiency of Vaccinations. J Biomed Res Environ Sci. 2022 Jan 31; 3(1): 114-139. doi: 10.37871/jbres1410, Article ID: jbres1410
Copyright:© 2022 Nesteruk I, et al. Distributed under Creative Commons CC-BY 4.0.
Keywords
  • COVID-19 pandemic
  • Epidemic dynamics in Ukraine, EU, USA, the UK, India, Brazil, South Africa, Argentina, and Australia
  • Efficiency of vaccinations
  • Mathematical modeling of infection diseases
  • Statistical methods

The sharp increase in the number of new COVID-19 cases in late 2021 and early 2022, which is associated with the spread of a new strain of coronavirus - omicron - is of great concern and makes it necessary to make at least approximate forecasts for the pandemic dynamics. As this rapid growth occurs even in countries with high levels of vaccinations, the question arises as to their effectiveness. The smoothed daily number of new cases and deaths per capita and the ratio of these characteristics were used to reveal the appearance of new coronavirus strains and to estimate the effectiveness of quarantine, testing and vaccination. The third year of the pandemic allowed us to compare the pandemic dynamics in the period from September 2020 to January 2021 with the same period one year later for Ukraine, EU, the UK, USA, India, Brazil, South Africa, Argentina, Australia, and in the whole world. Record numbers of new cases registered in late 2021 and early 2022 once again proved that existing vaccines cannot prevent new infections, and vaccinated people can spread the infection as intensively as non-vaccinated ones. Fortunately, the daily number of new cases already diminishes in EU, the UK, USA, South Africa, and Australia. In late January - early February 2022, the maximum averaged numbers of new cases are expected in Brazil, India, EU, and worldwide. “Omicron” waves can increase the numbers of deaths per capita, but in highly vaccinated countries, the deaths per case ratio significantly decreases.

Highlights: Vaccinated persons can get and pass the new coronavirus variants. The probability of death is much lower for vaccinated persons.

The averaged daily numbers of new COVID-19 Cases per Capita (DCC) and Deaths per Capita (DDC) may indicate the effectiveness of quarantine, testing, vaccination, treatment, and also the virulence of coronavirus strains circulating in particular regions at some fixed periods of time. The DCC and DDC values can be calculated with the use of the accumulated number of Cases per Capita (CC) and Deaths per Capita (DC) and the simple smoothing procedure proposed in [1-3]. The CC and DC numbers are regularly reported by the World Health Organization, [4] and COVID-19 Data Repository by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University (JHU), [5].

Since we are already in the third year of the pandemic, it is reasonable to compare the DCC and DDC numbers for the same periods in 2020, 2021, and 2022 in order to find some seasonal and global trends. Since the influence of vaccinations in 2020 and early 2021 can be neglected, the comparison of the COVID-19 pandemic dynamics for the same period one year later enables us to reveal some influences of vaccination levels.

In [6] the DCC values for Argentina, Brazil, India, South Africa, Ukraine, EU, the UK, USA and the whole world for the period from March to August 2020 were compared with the corresponding values in 2021. In this paper we will compare the DCC, DDC, DDC/DCC values and vaccination levels in the same countries and Australia for the period from September to January in 2020-2021 and 2021-2022, and will try to reveal some trends and make some predictions.

The CC figures (per million) registered by JHU, [5] are shown in table 1 (August 25, 2020 - January 25, 2021) and table 2 (August 25, 2021 - January 20, 2022). The accumulated numbers of deaths per capita DC (per million) are shown in table 3 (August 25, 2020 - January 25, 2021) and table 4 (August 25, 2021 - January 20, 2022). We denote these values as Vj corresponding time moments tj measured in days. Similar to the approach proposed in [1-3], we will use the averaged CC and DC values which can be calculated with the use of smoothing

Table 1: Accumulated number of laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases per million in different regions for the period August 25, 2020 - January 25, 2021, [5].
  Argentina Brazil India South Africa United States Ukraine European Union United Kingdom Australia World
2020-08-25 7885.791 17188.75 2314.142 10209.8 17403.84 2552.499 4014.002 4815.011 977.346 3039.414
2020-08-26 8117.121 17413.76 2375.637 10254.51 17531.85 2591.701 4049.832 4830.42 981.921 3075.218
2020-08-27 8338.672 17611.25 2431.088 10297.56 17682.18 2637.943 4116.519 4852.734 986.807 3111.653
2020-08-28 8595.591 17817.27 2485.969 10328.3 17823.12 2695.665 4171.747 4871.471 990.646 3147.77
2020-08-29 8797.977 17991.53 2542.493 10368.59 17952.86 2754.998 4201.316 4887.716 995.416 3180.812
2020-08-30 8955.567 18059.45 2598.838 10410.31 18053.82 2805.128 4227.249 4912.86 998.363 3208.572
2020-08-31 9159.686 18294.15 2649.018 10443.37 18155.54 2855.787 4301.327 4933.474 1001.194 3242.299
2020-09-01 9390.007 18501.31 2705.252 10463.66 18280.52 2905.181 4346.102 4952.533 1005.227 3276.125
2020-09-02 9629.735 18718.38 2765.452 10502.57 18401.24 2963.939 4400.627 4974.657 1010.112 3311.959
2020-09-03 9893.43 18937.12 2825.263 10542.87 18537.09 3020.695 4457.715 5000.094 1013.486 3348.215
2020-09-04 10127.7 19121.89 2887.292 10577.23 18682.07 3084.398 4523.528 5028.537 1016.239 3386.472
2020-09-05 10345.3 19280.11 2952.336 10607.31 18810.95 3151.047 4562.73 5055.118 1018.993 3421.075
2020-09-06 10498.48 19348.67 3017.501 10634.51 18901.63 3201.775 4595.021 5098.852 1020.66 3450.237
2020-09-07 10700.54 19393.14 3071.906 10648.58 18976.31 3253.608 4682.769 5142.103 1022.676 3477.969
2020-09-08 10964.26 19480.92 3136.285 10666.55 19055.63 3310.893 4739.078 5178.184 1026.244 3509.175
2020-09-09 11233.06 19654.23 3204.991 10699.69 19155.55 3370.64 4802.098 5217.198 1028.532 3545.405
2020-09-10 11494.1 19844.71 3274.282 10733.12 19273.23 3431.261 4874.947 5259.994 1030.083 3583.921
2020-09-11 11746.42 20038.8 3344.304 10765.77 19408.51 3505.501 4951.943 5311.909 1031.75 3624.119
2020-09-12 11982.7 20182.73 3412.032 10796.01 19544.62 3578.776 5004.536 5363.18 1033.456 3660.71
2020-09-13 12181.27 20248.24 3478.108 10822.31 19664.79 3637.763 5040.662 5412.001 1035.046 3692.16
2020-09-14 12398.55 20344.56 3538.255 10838.23 19765.25 3696.59 5137.857 5450.429 1036.869 3726.224
2020-09-15 12659.3 20506.02 3602.933 10851.09 19874.03 3765.585 5205.187 5496.01 1038.381 3761.776
2020-09-16 12915.28 20680.31 3673.188 10883.12 19991.09 3834.971 5284.936 5554.523 1039.738 3800.512
2020-09-17 13193.78 20850.43 3742.388 10918.56 20124.57 3919.61 5373.701 5604.371 1041.6 3840.403
2020-09-18 13455.69 21036.1 3809.372 10952.78 20278.28 3996.22 5474.028 5667.737 1042.53 3882.044
2020-09-19 13659.09 21174.22 3875.832 10986.58 20412.31 4073.176 5538.159 5732.569 1043.034 3919.015
2020-09-20 13843.96 21246.39 3938.241 11012.48 20540.66 4143.827 5591.09 5789.733 1043.577 3951.463
2020-09-21 14036.52 21328.79 3992.125 11024.55 20637.68 4207.807 5703.237 5853.891 1044.741 3984.547
2020-09-22 14300.24 21492.2 4051.94 11046.97 20749.33 4276.595 5786.515 5926.112 1045.904 4020.548
2020-09-23 14577.06 21645.13 4114.024 11078.71 20875.07 4359.371 5880.189 6016.718 1046.214 4060.134
2020-09-24 14872.36 21794.73 4175.78 11109.71 21020.51 4439.386 5983.603 6113.996 1046.99 4100.801
2020-09-25 15156.73 21945.72 4237.042 11134.36 21163.19 4523.703 6094.567 6214.777 1047.61 4142.783
2020-09-26 15403.38 22061.23 4300.627 11150.5 21292.44 4614.232 6166.619 6303.345 1048.541 4178.765
2020-09-27 15597.24 22125.66 4359.597 11171.61 21396.41 4688.611 6226.31 6386.797 1048.696 4210.245
2020-09-28 15856.13 22204.49 4410.256 11186.65 21509.5 4752.567 6341.679 6446.204 1049.123 4243.652
2020-09-29 16151.64 22357.99 4468.008 11201.69 21634.76 4838.38 6401.848 6550.93 1050.014 4279.443
2020-09-30 16467.22 22511.74 4530.317 11231.12 21751.36 4933.556 6528.595 6655.156 1050.712 4320.748
2020-10-01 16774.22 22678.96 4588.795 11260.19 21890.43 5029.698 6634.293 6756.524 1051.217 4361.2
2020-10-02 17096.26 22832.32 4645.832 11289.32 22050.38 5139 6750.177 6858.859 1051.682 4402.991
2020-10-03 17340.29 22939.83 4700.252 11320.68 22198.03 5249.084 6843.104 7047.579 1052.225 4440.578
2020-10-04 17508.42 22980.56 4753.676 11346.88 22297.32 5347.159 6919.248 7384.215 1052.729 4473.464
2020-10-05 17754.93 23102.31 4797.645 11362.3 22409.83 5436.997 7036.903 7568.961 1053.698 4513.181
2020-10-06 18078.13 23249.63 4849.352 11379.4 22542.72 5540.111 7150.324 7782.297 1054.009 4553.148
2020-10-07 18438.76 23394.2 4905.706 11411.26 22690.98 5652.541 7293.825 7989.973 1054.978 4597.438
2020-10-08 18777.62 23519.58 4956.298 11440.18 22864.53 5780.11 7455.497 8247.146 1055.753 4643.1
2020-10-09 19108.7 23649.18 5008.883 11464.51 23030.59 5917.249 7636.252 8450.409 1056.451 4688.824
2020-10-10 19380.9 23760.14 5062.265 11506.88 23196.08 6053.008 7800.328 8672.746 1057.188 4733.788
2020-10-11 19607.28 23817.1 5110.156 11533.11 23334.87 6167.118 7919.843 8861.466 1058.041 4770.262
2020-10-12 19816.11 23857.46 5149.873 11547.9 23466.45 6273.083 8089.458 9066.869 1059.011 4807.58
2020-10-13 20107.85 23919.89 5195.451 11567.52 23615.37 6395.269 8250.958 9319.57 1060.058 4848.199
2020-10-14 20435.26 24050 5244.043 11598.78 23789.17 6528.244 8466.412 9608.807 1060.833 4896.572
2020-10-15 20810.13 24192.19 5289.522 11628.26 23982.13 6649.255 8718.625 9887.092 1061.376 4948.434
2020-10-16 21172.93 24325.82 5334.17 11661.89 24190.08 6792.008 8971.812 10116.32 1061.648 5000.447
2020-10-17 21469.17 24422.9 5378.572 11694 24354.86 6944.515 9201.75 10353.41 1062.113 5047.258
2020-10-18 21700.74 24479.22 5418.562 11721.68 24511.72 7069.783 9407.694 10602.37 1062.462 5089.167
2020-10-19 21985.39 24556.69 5452.141 11746.01 24717.89 7184.491 9661.658 10878.32 1062.695 5137.209
2020-10-20 22343.62 24667.75 5490.927 11763.5 24903.55 7315.166 9909.978 11191.06 1064.168 5186.684
2020-10-21 22745.45 24788.58 5531 11797.73 25085.98 7475.633 10224.92 11582.43 1064.75 5242.964
2020-10-22 23103.41 24904.3 5570.017 11833.63 25321.76 7644.037 10585.84 11893.94 1065.448 5303.234
2020-10-23 23448.06 25044.5 5608.319 11865.23 25569.72 7823.024 10982.65 12195.11 1066.185 5366.436
2020-10-24 23710.48 25161.25 5644.295 11895.77 25802.39 7990.393 11326.51 12532.49 1066.883 5423.517
2020-10-25 23913.37 25218.51 5676.696 11922.79 25987.77 8137.77 11564.79 12822.64 1067.348 5469.114
2020-10-26 24170.18 25305.48 5702.869 11937.63 26182.94 8267.179 12054.02 13128.92 1067.891 5530.955
2020-10-27 24483.91 25445.59 5734.369 11955.82 26413.52 8425.576 12440.41 13464.83 1068.434 5590.701
2020-10-28 24789.23 25578.07 5770.167 11986.84 26671.27 8604.793 12870.32 13827.12 1068.899 5656.529
2020-10-29 25080.13 25702.84 5805.08 12021.09 26945.95 8780.582 13362.16 14165.33 1069.442 5726.562
2020-10-30 25373.49 25816.65 5839.72 12052.93 27246.25 8978.618 13882.08 14523.21 1069.675 5799.463
2020-10-31 25587.17 25878.19 5873.424 12082.41 27512.58 9187.007 14273 14844.51 1070.062 5859.201
2020-11-01 25732.09 25925.8 5905.885 12105.24 27741.69 9376.646 14637.26 15185.44 1070.295 5914.428
2020-11-02 25942.54 25964.35 5933.378 12118.1 27990.54 9537.55 15249.37 15463.33 1070.644 5985.608
2020-11-03 26208.85 26032.49 5966.572 12138.77 28361.61 9747.273 15731.38 15757.32 1071.109 6056.01
2020-11-04 26442.41 26141.45 6002.606 12167.28 28663.85 9972.94 16073.83 16126.65 1071.42 6120.413
2020-11-05 26685.8 26252.88 6036.795 12198.36 29049.48 10206.18 16615.33 16480.72 1071.962 6199.084
2020-11-06 26944.24 26347.27 6072.933 12227.69 29424.84 10434.74 17171.69 16822.37 1072.273 6277.96
2020-11-07 27120.46 26430.19 6105.712 12256.52 29810.72 10688.57 17697.66 17188.27 1072.505 6353.336
2020-11-08 27237.36 26479.27 6138.655 12279.37 30164.86 10910.51 18060.85 17489.88 1072.777 6415.206
2020-11-09 27419.72 26541.95 6165.978 12300.14 30527.02 11115.44 18432.48 17803.33 1072.932 6479.221
2020-11-10 27682.34 26758.89 6197.757 12328.94 30933.36 11354.5 18842.79 18102.91 1073.009 6552.591
2020-11-11 27920.91 26881.54 6232.137 12364.58 31373.91 11604.78 19343.04 18439.59 1073.165 6632.14
2020-11-12 28165.68 27040.05 6264.345 12403.52 31852.38 11865.49 19812.42 18930.55 1073.203 6713.913
2020-11-13 28425.71 27220.98 6296.413 12440.38 32387.41 12142.78 20275.43 19330.81 1073.436 6797.688
2020-11-14 28611.39 27343.78 6325.909 12477.63 32883.78 12436.91 20655.33 19724.61 1074.561 6871.402
2020-11-15 28735.17 27408.76 6347.832 12508.31 33301.14 12688.6 20950.98 20090.59 1076.034 6931.887
2020-11-16 28908.24 27482.33 6368.762 12529.05 33770.78 12919.76 21309.02 20404.43 1076.383 6999.199
2020-11-17 29141.13 27648.18 6396.476 12562.14 34259.21 13199.91 21761.68 20698.4 1077.12 7076.709
2020-11-18 29367.68 27810.58 6429.184 12610.24 34776.48 13493.56 22183.24 20986.21 1077.43 7156.315
2020-11-19 29589.07 27978.16 6462.112 12652.11 35353.52 13807.13 22609.88 21322.34 1077.701 7239.442
2020-11-20 29799.75 28159.34 6495.291 12703.83 35957.13 14148.4 23033.46 21619.27 1078.244 7324.855
2020-11-21 29956.31 28300.56 6527.736 12747.89 36501.31 14490.36 23364.16 21910.87 1078.826 7399.481
2020-11-22 30048.05 28384.33 6559.355 12785.7 36940.02 14774.83 23600.95 22184.48 1079.33 7461.312
2020-11-23 30141.57 28469.19 6586.609 12820.34 37490.06 15033.12 23870.55 22410.99 1079.679 7529.335
2020-11-24 30298.65 28630.56 6618.456 12861.86 38008.64 15321.3 24227.99 22577.09 1080.067 7604.506
2020-11-25 30487.07 28839.11 6650.384 12915.99 38549.91 15647.15 24588.91 22844.45 1080.532 7684.639
2020-11-26 30685.36 29030.17 6681.302 12967.11 38900.16 16006.58 24946.53 23101.83 1080.842 7759.649
2020-11-27 30857.4 29186.75 6710.958 13023.24 39541.77 16386.04 25294.25 23318.96 1081.347 7847.624
2020-11-28 30991.11 29427.34 6740.963 13076.5 40053.4 16767.59 25562.64 23551.65 1081.579 7923.967
2020-11-29 31110.22 29525.53 6768.788 13119.18 40467.96 17072.91 25756.43 23729.86 1081.967 7985.342
2020-11-30 31235.77 29636.26 6791.121 13157.52 40940.73 17308.44 25970.9 23911.82 1082.355 8049.863
2020-12-01 31412 29879.19 6817.39 13195.75 41529.44 17602.32 26261.59 24109.32 1082.781 8128.972
2020-12-02 31577.17 30105.71 6842.904 13265.25 42121.56 17911.59 26568.38 24347.21 1083.402 8211.032
2020-12-03 31744.46 30340.01 6869.167 13338.53 42781.18 18252.36 26899.51 24566.24 1083.79 8298.875
2020-12-04 31895.73 30562.78 6895.471 13420.67 43486.08 18607.94 27206.45 24806.18 1084.061 8386.234
2020-12-05 32009.77 30751.02 6921.314 13498.04 44158.73 18933.64 27489.44 25034.34 1084.41 8468.572
2020-12-06 32081.65 30874.53 6944.984 13566.59 44694.28 19208.05 27697.09 25288.96 1084.681 8536.694
2020-12-07 32151.79 31000.82 6964.05 13621.77 45284.72 19414.76 27872.13 25505.2 1085.263 8603.806
2020-12-08 32230.95 31224.17 6987.073 13688.57 45959.13 19671.42 28166.12 25686.31 1085.496 8685.408
2020-12-09 32347.23 31479.27 7009.694 13800.31 46621.88 19969.05 28478.91 25929.92 1085.767 8770.824
2020-12-10 32500.59 31729.52 7030.774 13936.31 47325.21 20285.06 28829.79 26238.13 1086.194 8961.714
2020-12-11 32656.53 31975.08 7052.326 14074.87 48047.49 20604.68 29167.29 26557.07 1086.737 9051.48
2020-12-12 32772.18 32172.87 7074.038 14206.14 48715.72 20908.8 29454.31 26873.05 1086.931 9132.814
2020-12-13 32850.19 32275.81 7093.466 14339.36 49291.98 21129.77 29684.96 27144.84 1087.202 9200.812
2020-12-14 32961.19 32403.76 7109.302 14425.35 49928.94 21287.98 29872.68 27442.86 1087.629 9270.069
2020-12-15 33114.26 32628.21 7128.235 14551.13 50599.38 21491.36 30198.32 27714.24 1088.094 9353.726
2020-12-16 33264.31 32937.21 7145.466 14717.82 51310.7 21745.74 30566.98 28084.59 1088.559 9445.615
2020-12-17 33424.94 33258.24 7161.893 14869.81 52028.55 22032.71 30936.91 28604.77 1089.373 9539.857
2020-12-18 33578.48 33505.23 7179.944 15015.12 52780.99 22333.31 31298.2 29022.72 1090.653 9631.722
2020-12-19 33705.54 33730.67 7199.051 15197.31 53378.12 22613.5 31583.8 29421.35 1092.282 9710.294
2020-12-20 33795.79 33845.08 7216.517 15354.62 53959.11 22815.1 31785.17 29949.6 1093.445 9778.797
2020-12-21 33924.13 33974.27 7230.552 15501 54562.65 22975.64 32007.03 30440.36 1094.259 9849.159
2020-12-22 34102.64 34239.06 7247.74 15659.24 55173.76 23181.52 32354.57 30980.49 1094.957 9933.6
2020-12-23 34290.91 34452.52 7265.475 15893.18 55842.16 23424.74 32712.99 31556.94 1095.927 10021.47
2020-12-24 34290.91 34724.55 7282.029 16131.43 56477.54 23699.11 33068.41 32129.6 1096.392 10108.91
2020-12-25 34525.28 34823.54 7298.014 16377.85 56840.11 23962.71 33290.2 32609.38 1097.284 10171
2020-12-26 34606.7 34905.47 7311.457 16570.25 57521.93 24149.85 33423.86 33118.03 1097.711 10236.52
2020-12-27 34716.99 34987.78 7325.825 16728.51 57929.77 24300.49 33561.34 33593.34 1098.835 10288.97
2020-12-28 34875.22 35115.99 7337.618 16852.72 58451.3 24411.12 33744.29 34200.52 1099.301 10352.71
2020-12-29 35130.67 35379.42 7352.365 17012.28 59059.84 24581.42 34080.04 34979.77 1100.541 10437.9
2020-12-30 35388.64 35639.24 7368.026 17307.24 59720.4 24774.76 34496.79 35713.46 1101.472 10531.58
2020-12-31 35642.69 35893.77 7382.404 17607.03 60657.64 25007.51 34885.88 36533.4 1102.248 10636.85
2021-01-01 35732.15 36000.97 7396.097 17885.6 61175.46 25234.3 35179.81 37314.64 1103.605 10709.38
2021-01-02 35847.05 36072.71 7409.142 18135.46 62023.71 25358.56 35324.58 38160.95 1104.535 10784.5
2021-01-03 35976.06 36153.04 7420.986 18332.97 62636.53 25470.85 35499.56 38968.08 1105.311 10850.88
2021-01-04 36156.35 36270.05 7432.738 18542.84 63193.82 25574.24 35725.95 39830.23 1105.815 10921.92
2021-01-05 36458.72 36541.48 7445.719 18782.84 63884.18 25703.65 36128.01 40723.66 1106.552 11016.39
2021-01-06 36753.44 36833.57 7460.321 19146.45 64665.84 25869.89 36504.54 41637.81 1106.94 11117.19
2021-01-07 37056.8 37244.66 7473.338 19496.19 65530.55 26084.31 37008.93 42409.49 1107.909 11230.49
2021-01-08 37349.44 37523.1 7473.338 19862.26 66445.2 26222.3 37390.97 43407.42 1108.336 11335.32
2021-01-09 37591.89 37763.27 7499.796 20222.11 67236.54 26340.62 37700.94 44286.72 1108.84 11431.3
2021-01-10 37763.09 37898.91 7511.502 20512.26 67876.18 26463.06 37910.05 45092.45 1109.577 11506.15
2021-01-11 37953.95 38042.59 7520.533 20762.85 68487.85 26568.54 38195.14 45769.67 1110.352 11584.16
2021-01-12 38256.17 38343.65 7531.993 20981.12 69150.16 26692.61 38544.24 46437.4 1110.973 11673.45
2021-01-13 38535.19 38623.22 7544.154 21290.15 69840.4 26847.1 38940.91 47134.38 1111.36 11768.72
2021-01-14 38826.51 38942.53 7555.343 21598.32 70544.67 27040 39317.82 47848.31 1111.709 11864.83
2021-01-15 39096.92 39265.42 7566.221 21846.14 71289.38 27238.32 39653.18 48666.07 1112.485 11963.15
2021-01-16 39292.77 39538.53 7577.09 22078.86 71936.83 27425.84 39896.21 49272.24 1113.222 12045.9
2021-01-17 39452.05 39685.34 7586.985 22283.17 72473.12 27573.03 40082.62 49838.23 1113.726 12113.12
2021-01-18 39631.52 39820.55 7594.197 22433.23 72898.4 27650.84 40388.47 50388.64 1114.113 12179.15
2021-01-19 39897.73 40110.97 7604.112 22596.12 73362.43 27748.18 40698.52 50877.9 1114.462 12254.07
2021-01-20 40163.31 40412.28 7615.053 22807.8 73928.76 27856.97 41094.58 51448.48 1114.811 12343.08
2021-01-21 40413.2 40687.75 7625.491 22997.35 74503.55 27993.31 41435.4 52004.15 1115.044 12426.44
2021-01-22 40648.98 40952.27 7635.722 23193.23 75084.02 28123.96 41787.09 52594.53 1115.238 12510.82
2021-01-23 40832.33 41224.7 7646.379 23397.61 75618.22 28245.06 42026.51 53086.68 1115.471 12583.71
2021-01-24 40942.65 41357.97 7655.854 23533.3 76043.06 28342.65 42218.57 53527.06 1115.897 12642.44
2021-01-25 41108.81 41500.64 7662.386 23609.09 76431.83 28407.23 42540.42 53852.8 1116.014 12703.56
Table 2: Accumulated number of laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases per million in different regions for the period August 25, 2021 - January 20, 2022, [5].
  Argentina Brazil India South Africa United States Ukraine European Union United Kingdom Australia World
2021-08-25 113035.5 96510.72 23366.1 45338.3 115383.4 54567.94 81364.06 96780.89 1855.111 27238.28
2021-08-26 113185.7 96655.22 23398.15 45551 115947.2 54616.65 81520.01 97338.04 1892.958 27332.1
2021-08-27 113313 96784.92 23431.7 45751.61 116663.6 54675.52 81615.48 97891.33 1936.349 27426.2
2021-08-28 113394.7 96892.16 23464.06 45921.04 116882.5 54735.06 81769.74 98361.76 1987.574 27496.97
2021-08-29 113440.1 96944.79 23494.85 46049.95 117019.6 54790.13 81859.27 98844.66 2040.118 27553.85
2021-08-30 113557.6 97004.61 23517.06 46143.95 117739.1 54818.11 81978.8 99229.18 2088.861 27638.82
2021-08-31 113705.2 97130.06 23547.17 46261.94 118280.6 54859.41 82106.18 99699.12 2136.363 27718.88
2021-09-01 113822 97250.38 23580.97 46420.89 118871.4 54916.64 82296.2 100220.1 2193.25 27811.04
2021-09-02 113924.1 97376.66 23613.52 46574.15 119399.7 54982.7 82441.89 100775.3 2257.155 27896.49
2021-09-03 114018.8 97486.97 23644.1 46727.36 120112.5 55053.53 82563.05 101392.8 2324.666 27987.65
2021-09-04 114073.3 97581.94 23674.8 46867.43 120344.3 55113.67 82666.3 101930 2389.425 28050
2021-09-05 114103.9 97641.11 23702.75 46966.21 120501.2 55162.95 82751.7 102465.3 2448.987 28106.91
2021-09-06 114189.3 97688.64 23725.15 47034.8 120743.1 55189.22 82838.14 103065.5 2505.834 28163.29
2021-09-07 114279.3 97752.22 23752.34 47130.91 121470.8 55248.16 82991.4 103611.3 2571.601 28252.39
2021-09-08 114356.7 97818.49 23783.38 47246.48 122005.3 55320.01 83101.22 104175.9 2638.492 28332.01
2021-09-09 114437 97971.87 23808.48 47350.89 122502.2 55412.26 83271.92 104726 2711.006 28413.9
2021-09-10 114498.7 98048.77 23832.44 47448.87 123200 55503.09 83379.92 105265.2 2791.469 28494.99
2021-09-11 114538.1 98113.08 23852.95 47537.29 123434.7 55599.63 83475.44 105688.3 2854.133 28554.03
2021-09-12 114558.5 98149.81 23872.51 47603.26 123569.6 55657.49 83549.68 106107.8 2920.83 28601.1
2021-09-13 114608.9 98190.22 23890.74 47647.23 124276.2 55692.5 83638.01 106553.3 2982.021 28675.56
2021-09-14 114675 98253.64 23910.25 47708.84 124704.8 55776.24 83768.79 106938.7 3045.732 28745.16
2021-09-15 114730 98315.68 23932.19 47786.57 125234.5 55889.85 83878.46 107376.7 3117.703 28817.82
2021-09-16 114784.7 98481.33 23956.88 47856.75 125705.9 56029.03 84021.44 107763.4 3187.502 28891.35
2021-09-17 114835.3 98646.46 23982.47 47917.51 126338.6 56188.7 84139.47 108237.5 3259.473 28970
2021-09-18 114867.1 99230.02 24004.55 47972.24 126552.8 56339.71 84233.74 108669.1 3320.431 29036.37
2021-09-19 114880.8 99272.89 24026.27 48010.23 126682.5 56439.37 84304.25 109094.4 3378.597 29082.62
2021-09-20 114928.2 99316.28 24045.01 48035.28 127221 56499.94 84386.06 109618.8 3439.943 29148.64
2021-09-21 114968.5 99388.15 24064.36 48071.87 127572.6 56627.44 84500.88 110075.2 3504.275 29209.66
2021-09-22 115013.1 99540.42 24087.27 48121.29 127983 56791.98 84623.42 110567.6 3574.423 29277.95
2021-09-23 115051.1 99656.85 24109.79 48167.64 128366.2 56982.5 84743.21 111092.4 3642.826 29346.2
2021-09-24 115091.6 99744.08 24131.05 48205.29 128896.5 57200.94 84856.31 111615.2 3715.146 29415.59
2021-09-25 115113.4 99808.86 24151.38 48232.51 129073.7 57401.67 84946.09 112051.3 3783.084 29463.01
2021-09-26 115125.7 99850.24 24170.06 48248.61 129230.7 57519.69 85020.1 112535.1 3840.165 29507.8
2021-09-27 115159.4 99893.91 24183.55 48258.24 129710.6 57600.48 85103.33 113085.1 3913.066 29565.95
2021-09-28 115199.4 99972.81 24197.1 48281.01 130049.2 57763.16 85226.12 113592.4 3983.331 29623.39
2021-09-29 115232.2 100051.7 24213.98 48281.01 130412.6 57997.94 85364.39 114106.9 4076.397 29686.84
2021-09-30 115268.2 100154.3 24233.16 48344.03 130747 58281.26 85498.6 114631.3 4156.2 29747.86
2021-10-01 115302.5 100238.7 24250.64 48371.26 131211.4 58571.2 85623.33 115138.8 4246.746 29813.41
2021-10-02 115321.9 100296.6 24267.03 48393.01 131352.6 58856.39 85727.41 115569.6 4319.337 29857.86
2021-10-03 115330.4 100339.4 24281.96 48406.49 131483.6 59053.66 85806.99 116004.6 4397.784 29897.17
2021-10-04 115351.9 100393.2 24295.13 48413.63 131920.6 59179.09 85899.42 116507.5 4490.423 29952.55
2021-10-05 115378.6 100496.7 24308.64 48426.42 132207 59420.45 86029.04 116992.5 4568.986 30005.86
2021-10-06 115406.7 100583.3 24324.74 48445.56 132546.4 59726.8 86179.31 117560.1 4654.917 30069.96
2021-10-07 115430.5 100651.6 24340 48462.03 132851.2 60090.15 86325.36 118143.1 4752.791 30126.34
2021-10-08 115447.1 100738.2 24354.16 48477.42 133246.9 60482.34 86467.37 118655.4 4850.316 30187.31
2021-10-09 115457.4 100807.4 24367.2 48491.01 133360.1 60864.74 86584.66 119233.3 4942.994 30230.21
2021-10-10 115464.6 100846.7 24380.21 48501.8 133477 61143.16 86674.11 119725.8 5024.271 30270.52
2021-10-11 115473.7 100879.4 24390.48 48505.15 133769.8 61364.14 86780.88 120306.2 5095.932 30318.16
2021-10-12 115497.1 100913.8 24401.84 48515.01 134103.6 61657.97 86930.76 120859.2 5174.611 30373.78
2021-10-13 115525.9 100952.9 24415.47 48530.7 134430.6 62051.37 87095.46 121467.6 5281.017 30431.06
2021-10-14 115555.5 101024.1 24427.57 48546.47 134691.9 62504.39 87267.02 122121.8 5379.201 30487.71
2021-10-15 115585.3 101090.9 24439.04 48558.68 135021.8 62837.01 87438.26 122770.6 5468.815 30545.64
2021-10-16 115602.6 101136.5 24449.19 48568.99 135139.7 63155.41 87579.53 123398.3 5553.079 30588.87
2021-10-17 115611.4 101165.4 24458.95 48575.88 135233.1 63435.23 87689.15 124053.6 5632.921 30628.71
2021-10-18 115631.4 101209 24468.32 48579.38 135533.5 63674.84 87827.76 124769.9 5711.95 30681.02
2021-10-19 115659.9 101270.8 24478.81 48586.91 135777.7 64054.07 88043.82 125406.3 5793.266 30737.23
2021-10-20 115686.6 101344.2 24492.06 48596.75 136053.9 64510.12 88276.78 126118.9 5891.916 30797.14
2021-10-21 115720.4 101423.6 24503.38 48605.41 136288 65047.04 88505.87 126874.6 5990.682 30855.07
2021-10-22 115750.8 101486.2 24515.1 48614.02 136577.5 65615.77 88736.28 127590 6063.7 30916.75
2021-10-23 115770.7 101541.8 24526.52 48621.5 136673.1 66172.03 88911.56 128249.5 6148.002 30962.91
2021-10-24 115782.5 101563 24536.78 48626.5 136728.9 66672.67 89066.29 128817.5 6213.303 31002.98
2021-10-25 115809.4 101599.6 24545.7 48628.93 137062.7 67031.95 89256.5 129349.4 6282.559 31057.3
2021-10-26 115840.5 101662 24555.36 48634.44 137270.7 67494.65 89531.04 129987.2 6354.297 31113.58
2021-10-27 115873 101742 24566.95 48642.3 137578.2 68037.16 89832.51 130632.3 6433.326 31178.84
2021-10-28 115907.9 101805.9 24577.25 48651.18 137805.8 68660.55 90079.8 131205.4 6506.46 31236.71
2021-10-29 115938 101865.2 24587.52 48659.09 138091.5 69302.74 90394.59 131838.2 6568.077 31301.1
2021-10-30 115955.8 101912 24596.73 48664.04 138193.3 69929.57 90632.22 132435.3 6614.028 31349.8
2021-10-31 115967.8 101940.6 24605.71 48667.87 138289.5 70354.99 90785.62 132987.6 6670.876 31390.6
2021-11-01 115992.8 101962.2 24613.19 48669.64 138624.3 70700.48 90968.48 133573.1 6714.888 31443.89
2021-11-02 116022.1 101989.9 24621.73 48672.45 138837.5 71172.93 91222.44 134065.9 6757.97 31497.38
2021-11-03 116049.9 102066.1 24630.98 48678.18 139093.9 71736.09 91618.25 134664.1 6817.571 31564.85
2021-11-04 116081.4 102128 24640.11 48683.49 139339.5 72391.24 92005.88 135202.8 6878.839 31630.81
2021-11-05 116109.3 102188.8 24647.96 48689.14 139629.9 73026.34 92362.62 135698.5 6938.324 31696.24
2021-11-06 116129.6 102241 24655.72 48695.1 139733.9 73628.82 92693.52 136140.5 6992.108 31750.08
2021-11-07 116142.6 102267.4 24663.96 48698.51 139842.9 74055.73 92918.84 136578 7041.123 31793.98
2021-11-08 116170.9 102299.6 24671.23 48700.45 140170.5 74382.66 93243.89 137051.1 7091.223 31854.48
2021-11-09 116200.5 102354.8 24679.46 48704.53 140410.7 74846.21 93605.87 137531.8 7137.795 31915.89
2021-11-10 116234.8 102424.8 24688.85 48709.61 140698.2 75408.6 94104.55 138111.6 7198.132 31989.27
2021-11-11 116266.8 102497.4 24697.84 48715.54 140868.4 76004.96 94537.92 138736 7252.964 32054.98
2021-11-12 116302.2 102565.6 24706.34 48722.08 141303.5 76585.63 94974.87 139308.4 7309.268 32130.28
2021-11-13 116326.2 102609.3 24714.43 48727.18 141434.2 77155.26 95330.29 139860.6 7352.505 32184.37
2021-11-14 116339.1 102629.4 24721.77 48731.54 141528 77516.3 95597.9 140390.3 7391.089 32229.17
2021-11-15 116370.2 102642.3 24728.13 48733.81 141932.9 77792.64 96010.93 140973.8 7430.409 32297.82
2021-11-16 116405.8 102672.9 24735.45 48738.35 142194.5 78195.57 96491.03 141515.6 7478.028 32364.23
2021-11-17 116439.8 102734.2 24744 48747.78 142533 78652.91 97094.02 142073.8 7527.159 32443.89
2021-11-18 116478.3 102787.5 24751.97 48757.52 142864 79154.67 97659.17 142762.7 7585.519 32521.83
2021-11-19 116511.6 102845.3 24759.37 48770.66 143245.3 79644.03 98211.91 143413.9 7638.256 32600.03
2021-11-20 116535.6 102883.7 24766.89 48785.44 143379.8 80092.05 98683.1 143998.6 7695.065 32660.92
2021-11-21 116549.8 102907.5 24772.99 48796.88 143497.7 80364.81 99039.83 144577.1 7741.869 32711.43
2021-11-22 116563.8 102926.8 24778.42 48802.08 143935.2 80562.94 99611.32 145237.1 7780.724 32790.35
2021-11-23 116599.9 102985 24785.09 49111.63 144209.5 80881.02 100150.3 145865.1 7837.494 32867.63
2021-11-24 116648.9 103042.2 24791.63 49132.86 144544.5 81233.66 100858 146490 7896.707 32952.87
2021-11-25 116698.4 103099.6 24799.2 49173.92 144661.8 81644.85 101526.6 147178.4 7959.798 33028.56
2021-11-26 116740.3 103150.5 24805.17 49221.02 144820.2 82031.39 102189.3 147904.9 8017.189 33104.19
2021-11-27 116773.7 103189.3 24811.47 49274.64 144898.3 82377.11 102679.5 148485 8065.079 33162.26
2021-11-28 116793.2 103205.8 24817.43 49322.24 145026 82566.79 103073.2 149020.2 8109.867 33213.95
2021-11-29 116836.3 103226.8 24822.45 49360.1 145589.9 82716.19 103628.2 149646.3 8152.483 33297.5
2021-11-30 116887.4 103274.9 24828.87 49432.93 145942.4 82974.14 104256.2 150232.9 8207.431 33376.93
2021-12-01 116928.7 103332.3 24835.88 49575.52 146353.9 83264.04 104959.5 150928.7 8273.43 33466.6
2021-12-02 116987.5 103388 24842.5 49767.63 146772.1 83589.87 105661.8 151710.4 8332.449 33556.26
2021-12-03 117039.7 103437.6 24848.67 50035.03 147248.6 83920.95 106331.6 152455.4 8398.681 33646.94
2021-12-04 117076.8 103472.3 24848.67 50307.61 147445.7 84238.57 106845.5 153063.2 8447.114 33711.69
2021-12-05 117105.1 103494.2 24861.01 50492.89 147608.7 84404.47 107234.9 153697.8 8496.943 33767.47
2021-12-06 117159.4 103522.3 24865.91 50599.17 148147.8 84520.53 107640.6 154451.8 8552.549 33842.76
2021-12-07 117227.2 103569.7 24871.97 50818.13 148488 84732.31 108397 155116.5 8618.665 33931.14
2021-12-08 117268.4 103617 24878.73 51148.6 148937.5 84959.95 108968.7 155861.4 8682.803 34015.89
2021-12-09 117328.6 103657.9 24884.76 51521.47 149305.3 85256.36 109725.1 156598.6 8749.151 34108.35
2021-12-10 117406.9 103690.9 24890.49 51838.2 149788 85528.22 110335.2 157454.1 8817.283 34195.62
2021-12-11 117460.5 103703.5 24896.14 52123.88 149955.7 85772.22 110789.3 158220.6 8877.116 34258.67
2021-12-12 117495 103711 24901.42 52754.69 150109.8 85903.84 111146.2 158925.4 8948.583 34314.64
2021-12-13 117572 103724 24905.57 52976 150671.8 86005.6 111636.9 159716.4 9024.974 34394.79
2021-12-14 117671.9 103744.4 24910.58 53373.34 151016.7 86183.11 112248.3 160592.4 9133.9 34478.23
2021-12-15 117777.5 103768.2 24916.3 53812.85 151448 86377.77 112917.9 161735.4 9266.635 34571.97
2021-12-16 117893.8 103785.3 24921.65 54225.65 151873.3 86605.94 113535.2 163022.7 9414.067 34665.66
2021-12-17 118017.6 103805.7 24921.65 54570.62 152452.3 86817.94 114086.1 164382 9569.836 34758.62
2021-12-18 118108.9 103816.8 24926.78 54838.43 152686 86997.53 114617.6 165687.9 9719.594 34831.88
2021-12-19 118180.2 103823.6 24936.57 55096 152949.7 87087 114932.4 166889.5 9875.906 34892.69
2021-12-20 118297.3 103835.9 24940.39 55237.75 153677.9 87151.74 115431.9 168243.8 10050.09 34988.31
2021-12-21 118502 103853.4 24944.92 55494.62 154213.7 87296.24 116138.9 169553 10264.57 35088.64
2021-12-22 118745.8 103868.5 24950.3 55846.01 154936.8 87447.82 116866.6 171101.6 10588.63 35203.06
2021-12-23 119040.9 103886.1 24955.07 56198.37 155747 87621.13 117657.1 172901.5 10907.31 35328.95
2021-12-24 119397.8 103903.3 24960.23 56512.26 156448.3 87778.21 118215.8 174687.3 11289.46 35436.18
2021-12-25 119555.3 103920.5 24965.25 56759.22 156667 87903.62 118842.2 176474 11656.25 35521.41
2021-12-26 119722.5 103943.7 24969.94 56852.54 157254.8 87972.36 119082.5 178217.8 12039.53 35595.63
2021-12-27 120166.8 103976.2 24974.5 56915.46 158782.6 88019.25 120008.9 179796.8 12496.99 35758.42
2021-12-28 120910.2 104018.5 24981.1 57035.65 159851.9 88074.9 121205.7 181820.5 13182.49 35924.41
2021-12-29 121831.8 104064.1 24990.54 57185.87 161348.9 88204.1 122708 184525.1 14011.13 36145.88
2021-12-30 122939.2 104123 25002.57 57402.02 163116 88344.19 124379.7 187295 15322.23 36391.52
2021-12-31 123984.3 104170.7 25018.91 57597.79 164587.3 88509.48 125735.3 190088.6 16499.63 36608.88
2022-01-01 124423.3 104188.3 25038.69 57760.89 165086.8 88628.45 126889.7 192472.1 17952.19 36755.39
2022-01-02 124872.9 104196.8 25062.91 57833.45 166000.3 88674.65 127354.9 194450.5 19100.31 36872.88
2022-01-03 125846.3 104251.2 25089.73 57884.69 169233.7 88719.6 129015.3 197198.2 20835.41 37181.37
2022-01-04 127627 104340.8 25131.43 58019.22 171653.4 88763.06 131020.2 200441.6 23607.8 37505.14
2022-01-05 129713.6 104447.6 25196.68 58204.19 173589.2 88871.44 133295.8 203294.9 26532.62 37829.87
2022-01-06 132117 104615 25280.72 58368.38 176036.2 89027.17 135091.5 205942.9 29566.14 38162.66
2022-01-07 134540.6 104910.8 25382.62 58522.59 178609.8 89195.2 137375 208565.3 33369.89 38535.24
2022-01-08 136770.4 105141.2 25497.18 58651.81 179768.5 89272.02 139020.7 210626.2 37709.35 38804.52
2022-01-09 138378 105279.8 25626.16 58726.46 181197.5 89339.77 140464 212699.2 40533.67 39059.36
2022-01-10 140315.3 105438.3 25746.78 58766.58 185307.8 89388.09 142149.1 214808.5 44171.22 39463.87
2022-01-11 143263.2 105780.6 25746.78 58860.99 187618.4 89515.95 144798.8 216506.5 47444.34 39828.93
2022-01-12 146137.4 106191.3 26064.08 58973.57 190350.5 89683.12 147384 218412.2 54240.9 40300.24
2022-01-13 148952.9 106649 26064.08 59072.12 192874 89918.44 149643.3 219967.5 59211.58 40666.37
2022-01-14 152019.4 107168.2 26446.62 59159.31 195454.1 90164.2 152118.6 221418.2 62557.6 41120.78
2022-01-15 154138.7 107395.1 26641.25 59235.76 196636.3 90412.64 153866.6 222601.8 66934.29 41426.84
2022-01-16 155569.3 107550.6 26826.48 59280.04 198040.2 90565.21 155343.1 223630.4 69256.71 41694.83
2022-01-17 157815.9 107898.2 26997.29 59307.17 200021.4 90688.09 157325.3 224936.4 72527.78 42040.97
2022-01-18 160468.7 108554 27200.37 59368.08 203335.2 90891.72 160167.3 226318.7 75808.93 42510.65
2022-01-19 163282.4 109467.8 27428.25 59368.08 206312.2 91194.08 163298.5 227899.4 78430.43 43048.11
2022-01-20 166126.5 110261.2 27677.46 59506.02 208250.9 91627.08 166315.3 229466.3 80909.9 43502.64
Table 3: Accumulated number of deaths per million in different regions for the period August 25, 2020 - January 25, 2021, [5].
  Argentina Brazil India South Africa United States Ukraine European Union United Kingdom Australia World
2020-08-25 165.834 545.624 42.598 221.645 535.341 54.34 311.635 608.397 21.289 109.528
2020-08-26 171.886 550.666 43.399 224.876 538.879 55.192 311.74 608.632 22.181 110.361
2020-08-27 176.513 555.269 44.157 226.974 542.228 56.342 312.098 608.807 22.607 111.151
2020-08-28 181.358 559.237 44.89 228.89 545.055 57.492 312.384 608.939 23.266 111.892
2020-08-29 183.156 563.428 45.57 232.854 548.008 58.435 312.567 609.115 23.693 112.631
2020-08-30 185.437 565.302 46.267 233.636 549.356 59.241 312.717 609.13 25.283 113.173
2020-08-31 189.888 568.326 46.855 235.652 550.84 59.931 313.167 609.159 25.477 113.735
2020-09-01 195.567 573.7 47.605 237.55 554.027 61.058 313.621 609.203 25.709 114.573
2020-09-02 199.931 579.326 48.353 239.649 557.187 62.231 314.03 609.35 26.291 115.371
2020-09-03 205.259 583.378 49.14 242.547 560.284 63.474 314.399 609.541 28.579 116.146
2020-09-04 211.004 587.345 49.921 244.462 563.225 64.693 314.983 609.687 29.005 116.891
2020-09-05 213.547 590.168 50.686 246.144 565.688 65.866 315.231 609.863 29.199 117.541
2020-09-06 216.179 592.308 51.415 247.976 567.009 66.672 315.416 609.892 29.548 118.065
2020-09-07 222.099 593.803 52.228 249.892 567.971 67.408 315.859 609.936 29.859 119.285
2020-09-08 228.151 596.257 53.028 251.257 569.376 68.742 316.349 610.406 30.285 119.938
2020-09-09 233.698 601.663 53.869 252.623 572.696 69.8 316.767 610.523 30.557 120.732
2020-09-10 239.158 606.215 54.737 254.239 575.471 70.836 317.185 610.728 30.906 121.496
2020-09-11 244.442 610.178 55.599 256.121 578.943 72.055 317.67 610.816 31.138 122.258
2020-09-12 246.964 613.762 56.398 256.937 581.193 73.757 317.903 610.948 31.41 122.9
2020-09-13 248.916 615.654 57.214 257.27 582.395 74.517 318.104 611.021 31.642 123.401
2020-09-14 255.823 617.795 57.97 258.136 583.665 75.299 318.621 611.153 31.642 123.985
2020-09-15 259.879 622.851 58.896 260.501 587.276 76.518 319.39 611.549 31.953 124.82
2020-09-16 265.668 627.346 59.708 261.567 590.145 78.313 320.32 611.842 32.263 125.567
2020-09-17 273.211 631.407 60.551 262.683 592.746 79.716 321.063 612.15 32.457 126.283
2020-09-18 277.508 635.276 61.446 264.098 595.629 81.326 321.917 612.546 32.728 127.027
2020-09-19 280.644 638.459 62.259 265.481 597.765 82.477 322.23 612.942 32.922 127.702
2020-09-20 286.213 640.099 63.07 265.697 598.576 83.42 322.516 613.206 33 128.206
2020-09-21 295.62 642.277 63.825 266.347 599.817 84.018 323.239 613.367 33.116 128.766
2020-09-22 305.926 645.987 64.604 268.445 602.926 85.49 324.283 613.91 33.31 129.55
2020-09-23 315.223 650.342 65.414 269.911 606.125 87.055 325.128 614.452 33.387 130.381
2020-09-24 323.774 654.057 66.233 271.194 608.849 88.297 325.837 615.038 33.698 131.102
2020-09-25 333.466 657.899 67.015 271.677 611.597 89.954 326.805 615.537 33.736 131.866
2020-09-26 340.812 661.273 67.821 272.742 613.949 91.748 327.355 616.05 33.814 132.556
2020-09-27 345.329 662.857 68.567 273.109 614.887 93.036 327.689 616.299 33.93 133.044
2020-09-28 353.31 664.684 69.124 276.24 615.911 93.911 328.57 616.49 34.202 133.562
2020-09-29 362.213 668.693 69.97 277.589 618.62 95.567 329.187 617.531 34.357 134.337
2020-09-30 371.378 673.282 70.818 278.705 621.42 97.109 330.658 618.572 34.434 135.156
2020-10-01 444.855 676.895 71.604 280.903 624.171 98.65 331.609 619.437 34.512 136.287
2020-10-02 451.675 679.951 72.371 281.62 626.697 100.237 332.648 620.404 34.628 137.008
2020-10-03 455.972 682.698 73.045 282.103 628.758 102.4 333.165 621.123 34.667 137.609
2020-10-04 460.862 684.371 73.693 282.735 629.866 103.412 333.652 621.607 34.667 138.12
2020-10-05 470.729 686.208 74.328 283.402 631.314 104.217 334.594 621.885 34.706 139.018
2020-10-06 478.601 689.993 75.035 284.851 633.42 106.38 336.076 623 34.783 139.761
2020-10-07 487.35 693.381 75.732 287.266 636.18 108.289 337.219 624.026 34.783 140.509
2020-10-08 497.963 696.816 76.424 289.93 639.13 110.59 338.304 625.155 34.783 141.317
2020-10-09 509.255 699.872 77.089 292.245 642.053 112.707 339.686 626.43 34.783 142.103
2020-10-10 517.061 702.367 77.747 294.344 644.035 115.26 340.464 627.618 34.822 142.724
2020-10-11 523.354 703.666 78.333 296.126 645.438 117.285 341.126 628.571 34.822 143.247
2020-10-12 530.327 704.573 78.84 297.508 646.633 118.32 342.476 629.304 34.861 143.763
2020-10-13 538.791 706.339 79.364 300.257 648.967 120.874 343.872 631.4 35.055 144.452
2020-10-14 546.443 709.76 79.852 302.305 651.968 123.427 345.661 633.409 35.055 145.237
2020-10-15 555.675 713.564 80.494 304.937 654.506 125.222 347.291 635.432 35.055 146.023
2020-10-16 564.029 716.569 81.095 305.953 657.339 127.707 349.301 637.426 35.055 146.812
2020-10-17 572.449 718.508 81.836 306.585 659.802 130.421 350.444 639.625 35.055 147.535
2020-10-18 575.957 719.606 82.252 307.635 661.193 132.561 351.537 640.608 35.094 148.026
2020-10-19 585.802 721.13 82.673 307.984 662.664 134.217 353.409 641.781 35.094 148.627
2020-10-20 594.222 724.158 83.187 310.716 665.479 136.84 355.918 645.314 35.094 149.47
2020-10-21 603.41 726.826 83.691 312.132 669.005 140.176 358.286 648.114 35.094 150.341
2020-10-22 613.014 729.186 84.186 313.83 671.58 142.937 360.813 650.885 35.094 151.093
2020-10-23 621.368 731.817 84.653 314.63 674.433 145.766 363.667 654.169 35.094 151.989
2020-10-24 627.398 733.625 85.068 315.512 677.326 148.688 365.887 656.72 35.094 152.733
2020-10-25 633.603 734.714 85.412 315.912 678.702 151.058 367.296 658.934 35.094 153.274
2020-10-26 642.484 736.125 85.762 316.578 680.27 152.783 370.487 660.43 35.094 153.989
2020-10-27 651.89 738.583 86.127 317.328 683.306 155.751 374.673 665.81 35.171 154.936
2020-10-28 659.368 740.939 86.498 318.294 686.412 159.616 378.204 670.355 35.171 155.851
2020-10-29 667.502 743.513 86.902 319.177 689.425 162.377 382.017 674.46 35.171 156.766
2020-10-30 675.177 746.191 87.297 320.276 692.621 166.449 386.657 678.478 35.171 157.743
2020-10-31 679.782 747.556 87.635 321.042 695.418 170.222 390.232 683.257 35.171 158.58
2020-11-01 682.808 748.504 87.991 323.29 696.928 172.89 393.046 685.632 35.171 159.232
2020-11-02 693.398 749.275 88.342 324.19 698.602 174.478 397.565 687.626 35.171 160.016
2020-11-03 702.805 750.621 88.711 325.422 703.399 178.274 404.819 693.447 35.171 161.22
2020-11-04 713.067 753.509 89.216 326.188 706.763 182.944 412.972 700.66 35.171 162.51
2020-11-05 718.461 756.327 89.697 327.721 710.262 187.453 418.876 706.202 35.171 163.616
2020-11-06 726.574 757.593 90.111 328.92 713.909 192.285 426.081 711.407 35.171 164.772
2020-11-07 731.222 758.659 90.513 329.586 717.264 196.771 430.897 717.462 35.171 165.747
2020-11-08 735.871 759.547 90.864 329.919 718.955 200.038 434.645 719.749 35.171 166.521
2020-11-09 743.48 760.416 91.186 330.519 721.235 202.729 440.334 722.593 35.171 167.432
2020-11-10 749.531 761.341 91.553 332.284 725.488 207.469 449.024 730.393 35.171 168.71
2020-11-11 757.162 764.023 91.948 333.283 729.823 211.978 457.059 739.116 35.171 170.046
2020-11-12 762.666 768.383 92.34 334.366 733.439 216.763 463.671 747.371 35.171 171.289
2020-11-13 768.433 771.075 92.714 335.648 737.044 220.95 471.63 752.883 35.171 172.528
2020-11-14 774.177 774.505 93.034 336.531 741.168 225.597 477.327 759.657 35.171 173.678
2020-11-15 777.006 775.159 93.347 337.114 743.535 227.852 482.052 762.12 35.171 174.515
2020-11-16 783.387 776.36 93.669 338.33 745.98 230.107 488.935 765.243 35.171 175.523
2020-11-17 791.697 779.529 94.009 340.295 751.113 233.926 498.479 774.01 35.171 176.93
2020-11-18 796.982 783.052 94.429 342.36 756.947 239.976 506.941 781.766 35.171 178.384
2020-11-19 801.038 786.09 94.848 344.276 763.08 246.027 514.394 789.111 35.171 179.8
2020-11-20 806.695 788.487 95.253 345.741 768.935 251.433 523.938 796.603 35.171 181.294
2020-11-21 809.151 790.155 95.612 347.174 773.855 256.494 529.969 801.588 35.171 182.439
2020-11-22 811.344 790.987 95.979 348.14 777.042 259.784 534.652 807.423 35.171 183.382
2020-11-23 813.975 792.646 96.323 349.222 780.265 262.798 541.962 810.443 35.171 184.465
2020-11-24 820.772 795.576 96.669 351.138 786.681 267.307 552.425 819.357 35.171 186.081
2020-11-25 826.956 798.487 97.045 353.103 793.449 272.783 561.035 829.547 35.171 187.619
2020-11-26 831.933 801.805 97.398 354.568 797.663 278.166 569.653 836.848 35.171 189.017
2020-11-27 837.963 804.417 97.746 356.051 802.325 282.79 579.476 844.472 35.171 190.472
2020-11-28 840.287 806.959 98.102 357.067 806.404 287.231 585.805 851.495 35.171 191.646
2020-11-29 843.598 808.048 98.42 357.7 809.561 290.175 590.543 854.647 35.21 192.572
2020-11-30 849.234 809.688 98.766 358.666 813.502 292.89 597.815 857.623 35.21 193.706
2020-12-01 853.575 812.889 99.125 360.481 821.167 298.204 607.444 866.464 35.21 195.322
2020-12-02 858.575 816.062 99.503 361.564 829.668 302.3 616.177 875.964 35.21 196.93
2020-12-03 861.842 819.619 99.89 363.129 838.586 308.143 625.054 882.034 35.21 198.527
2020-12-04 866.381 822.787 100.258 365.794 846.432 313.826 634.048 889.423 35.21 200.107
2020-12-05 869.012 825.81 100.604 367.526 853.611 319.255 640.243 895.244 35.21 201.418
2020-12-06 872.038 827.399 100.884 369.841 857.825 323.327 644.959 898.631 35.21 202.397
2020-12-07 874.625 829.385 101.161 370.557 862.508 326.87 651.258 901.402 35.21 203.503
2020-12-08 877.278 833.114 101.449 373.605 870.267 331.586 659.677 910.184 35.21 205.063
2020-12-09 881.949 837.1 101.745 375.97 879.822 338.235 667.622 917.998 35.21 206.673
2020-12-10 886.532 840.694 102.041 378.851 888.791 344.654 676.104 925.563 35.21 208.281
2020-12-11 890.369 843.783 102.359 382.266 898.947 351.486 685.252 931.78 35.21 209.94
2020-12-12 891.728 846.947 102.64 384.831 906.556 357.238 691.545 939.403 35.21 211.301
2020-12-13 893.877 848.325 102.881 387.662 911.539 360.988 696.299 941.515 35.21 212.29
2020-12-14 899.907 850.722 103.135 390.577 916.492 363.312 702.867 944.916 35.21 213.454
2020-12-15 903.481 855.087 103.413 394.074 925.464 368.971 713.283 952.335 35.21 215.198
2020-12-16 907.011 859.484 103.667 396.839 936.677 375.321 722.592 961.307 35.21 216.959
2020-12-17 910.717 864.442 103.91 399.903 947.04 381.417 731.108 969.107 35.21 218.656
2020-12-18 913.743 868.26 104.159 404.467 955.877 387.606 740.256 976.291 35.21 220.294
2020-12-19 915.738 871.34 104.404 408.697 964.15 392.759 746.473 984.164 35.21 221.684
2020-12-20 916.835 873.298 104.643 411.229 969.463 395.727 750.679 988.944 35.21 222.711
2020-12-21 920.869 875.919 104.859 414.826 974.861 397.844 757.39 992.096 35.21 223.923
2020-12-22 926.504 880.448 105.098 420.472 984.768 403.411 767.021 1002.227 35.21 225.724
2020-12-23 927.82 884.957 105.322 427.318 994.917 410.037 775.623 1013.193 35.21 227.479
2020-12-24 927.82 888.509 105.563 432.747 1003.694 415.42 782.057 1021.624 35.21 228.98
2020-12-25 930.188 890.761 105.743 437.627 1008.215 419.975 786.444 1029.981 35.21 230.083
2020-12-26 931.92 892.144 105.943 441.708 1013.961 423.058 790.203 1033.059 35.21 231.041
2020-12-27 935.188 893.719 106.143 445.272 1018.281 424.968 794.032 1038.147 35.249 232.02
2020-12-28 939.968 896.233 106.324 450.868 1023.919 426.877 800.758 1043.381 35.249 233.249
2020-12-29 943.257 901.144 106.529 459.145 1034.78 432.537 811.512 1050.096 35.249 235.165
2020-12-30 946.436 906.832 106.744 466.89 1046.594 438.449 821.329 1064.493 35.249 237.149
2020-12-31 948.234 911.579 106.928 474.151 1056.588 443.58 828.44 1078.626 35.249 238.831
2021-01-01 949.857 913.771 107.088 481.113 1063.178 447.169 833.576 1087.643 35.249 240.06
2021-01-02 951.085 915.14 107.244 485.91 1070.985 448.572 837.465 1094.167 35.249 241.134
2021-01-03 953.431 916.594 107.398 492.605 1075.301 451.609 841.226 1100.824 35.249 242.102
2021-01-04 956.764 919.383 107.542 499.833 1081.249 453.495 848.096 1106.835 35.249 243.379
2021-01-05 960.075 924.935 107.731 508.378 1092.074 458.488 858.62 1119.707 35.249 245.337
2021-01-06 964.263 930.687 107.891 522.434 1103.861 464.055 866.723 1134.97 35.249 247.254
2021-01-07 967.464 937.781 108.059 529.779 1115.96 467.805 874.87 1152.006 35.249 249.178
2021-01-08 970.775 942.833 108.059 540.039 1128.543 470.06 883.893 1171.52 35.249 251.132
2021-01-09 973.933 947.548 108.367 546.684 1138.323 472.222 889.81 1186.694 35.249 252.759
2021-01-10 975.643 949.838 108.482 552.33 1144.643 474.868 893.969 1194.949 35.249 253.875
2021-01-11 979.129 952.132 108.602 559.259 1150.161 476.662 900.794 1202.704 35.249 255.152
2021-01-12 983.383 957.389 108.747 571.833 1163.345 481.172 910.897 1220.958 35.249 257.329
2021-01-13 986.343 963.296 108.889 585.257 1175.414 485.911 920.148 1243.903 35.249 259.473
2021-01-14 989.457 968.689 109.026 597.115 1186.804 490.029 928.91 1262.2 35.249 261.441
2021-01-15 991.694 973.992 109.152 607.358 1198.255 494.147 936.797 1280.966 35.249 263.351
2021-01-16 993.185 978.731 109.282 613.754 1208.999 497.782 943.078 1299.952 35.249 265.094
2021-01-17 995.64 981.306 109.386 617.984 1214.98 500.773 947.266 1309.819 35.249 266.25
2021-01-18 1004.959 983.53 109.484 623.713 1219.68 502.613 952.812 1318.601 35.249 267.486
2021-01-19 1010.09 988.951 109.6 637.687 1226.892 506.984 964.036 1342.206 35.249 269.596
2021-01-20 1013.379 995.47 109.709 647.114 1240.235 512.207 973.767 1368.889 35.249 271.889
2021-01-21 1016.427 1001.764 109.826 657.89 1252.662 518.119 982.263 1387.802 35.249 274.066
2021-01-22 1021.251 1006.769 109.935 667.466 1264.007 522.191 991.051 1408.343 35.249 276.113
2021-01-23 1024.803 1012.12 110.046 675.76 1274.688 525.228 996.308 1428.121 35.249 277.881
2021-01-24 1026.777 1014.9 110.14 680.757 1280.269 527.437 1000.535 1437.064 35.249 279.049
2021-01-25 1031.316 1018.125 110.224 684.804 1285.586 529.162 1007.881 1445.744 35.249 280.452
Table 4: Accumulated number of deaths per million for the period August 25, 2021 - January 20, 2022, [5].
  Argentina Brazil India South Africa United States Ukraine European Union United Kingdom Australia World
2021-08-25 2433.154 2696.199 313.164 1340.212 1900.893 1302.511 1680.514 1936.704 38.351 566.954
2021-08-26 2436.465 2700.27 313.52 1346.158 1907.565 1304.029 1681.646 1938.771 38.428 568.428
2021-08-27 2439.82 2704.092 313.885 1352.17 1912.74 1306.031 1682.665 1940.237 38.506 569.736
2021-08-28 2441.004 2707.032 314.215 1356.734 1914.641 1307.825 1683.262 1942.187 38.739 570.811
2021-08-29 2442.298 2708.331 314.488 1358.965 1915.51 1309.044 1683.745 1943.082 38.894 571.663
2021-08-30 2447.209 2709.817 314.739 1362.879 1920.715 1309.827 1685 1943.786 39.01 572.873
2021-08-31 2451.704 2713.934 315.069 1370.058 1925.05 1311.437 1686.384 1944.519 39.243 574.039
2021-09-01 2455.936 2717.191 315.434 1373.972 1931.159 1312.863 1687.569 1947.553 39.514 575.622
2021-09-02 2460.103 2720.845 315.697 1380.933 1940.029 1314.313 1688.837 1950.163 40.018 577.049
2021-09-03 2463.633 2724.303 315.934 1385.047 1945.941 1315.762 1689.989 1951.937 40.173 578.405
2021-09-04 2465.562 2727.285 316.155 1388.078 1947.848 1316.774 1690.678 1953.697 40.29 579.383
2021-09-05 2467.031 2728.551 316.312 1389.344 1949.038 1317.948 1691.223 1954.693 40.484 580.21
2021-09-06 2470.584 2729.579 316.52 1392.642 1950.837 1318.684 1692.473 1955.353 40.794 581.23
2021-09-07 2474.487 2731.107 316.785 1397.339 1957.082 1320.363 1693.947 1958.417 41.104 582.559
2021-09-08 2476.921 2732.271 317.028 1401.552 1963.927 1322.204 1695.215 1961.218 41.337 583.834
2021-09-09 2479.925 2736.121 317.214 1404.467 1973.792 1324.044 1696.51 1963.666 41.724 585.212
2021-09-10 2483.937 2739.093 317.435 1409.147 1981.091 1326.253 1697.664 1965.821 42.035 586.375
2021-09-11 2485.56 2742.22 317.678 1411.529 1983.47 1328.254 1698.285 1968.108 42.306 587.433
2021-09-12 2486.568 2743.617 317.835 1413.627 1984.479 1329.106 1698.82 1968.93 42.578 588.138
2021-09-13 2491.787 2744.944 318.078 1415.709 1990.952 1329.681 1700.224 1969.839 42.733 589.292
2021-09-14 2495.646 2748.112 318.282 1420.706 1996.74 1332.35 1702.111 1972.551 43.276 590.551
2021-09-15 2499.001 2751.855 318.591 1423.47 2005.049 1334.926 1703.424 1975.498 43.741 591.878
2021-09-16 2501.895 2754.954 318.821 1428.65 2015.445 1337.71 1704.672 1977.814 44.245 593.212
2021-09-17 2505.952 2757.935 319.023 1431.531 2022.792 1340.448 1705.855 1980.439 44.516 594.354
2021-09-18 2507.728 2760.673 319.244 1434.263 2025.688 1342.702 1706.678 1982.843 45.059 595.177
2021-09-19 2509.066 2761.832 319.456 1435.229 2026.73 1344.06 1707.248 1983.664 45.253 595.947
2021-09-20 2511.039 2763.071 319.637 1435.928 2033.594 1345.325 1708.726 1984.382 45.68 596.987
2021-09-21 2512.377 2766.216 319.912 1438.593 2040.668 1348.822 1710.383 1987.359 45.99 598.169
2021-09-22 2514.679 2769.323 320.114 1440.658 2049.216 1351.698 1711.939 1989.792 46.378 599.429
2021-09-23 2516.608 2772.263 320.342 1443.24 2059.03 1354.941 1713.393 1992.461 46.843 600.669
2021-09-24 2517.836 2775.44 320.551 1448.436 2066.491 1358.576 1714.757 1995.1 47.308 601.784
2021-09-25 2518.297 2777.964 320.737 1449.002 2068.864 1362.004 1715.468 1996.888 47.735 602.473
2021-09-26 2518.582 2779.207 320.935 1449.852 2070.513 1363.822 1716.148 1997.812 48.278 603.162
2021-09-27 2520.599 2780.113 321.064 1452.583 2077.434 1366.191 1717.715 1998.399 48.704 604.138
2021-09-28 2522.441 2783.931 321.335 1455.931 2085.123 1369.78 1719.372 2000.847 49.596 605.333
2021-09-29 2524.458 2787.113 321.558 1455.931 2092.972 1375.026 1720.989 2003.046 50.062 606.524
2021-09-30 2525.533 2789.955 321.757 1459.412 2101.377 1379.903 1722.416 2005.055 50.837 607.644
2021-10-01 2526.541 2792.244 321.925 1460.728 2107.793 1384.136 1723.818 2006.917 51.225 608.735
2021-10-02 2526.848 2794.366 322.1 1461.527 2110.178 1389.105 1724.737 2008.691 51.729 609.48
2021-10-03 2526.98 2795.422 322.229 1461.977 2111.677 1392.188 1725.555 2009.321 52.194 610.022
2021-10-04 2527.813 2796.375 322.418 1462.626 2117.561 1394.949 1727.179 2009.805 52.621 610.933
2021-10-05 2528.69 2799.572 322.617 1464.342 2123.289 1402.679 1729.138 2012.239 53.474 611.876
2021-10-06 2529.918 2802.235 322.846 1465.324 2131.192 1410.478 1731.061 2014.365 53.862 613.038
2021-10-07 2530.729 2804.235 323.04 1467.373 2138.639 1418.024 1732.758 2016.153 54.482 614.176
2021-10-08 2531.343 2807.179 323.218 1469.571 2144.147 1423.914 1734.69 2017.986 55.103 615.138
2021-10-09 2531.65 2809.123 323.372 1470.504 2145.415 1429.987 1735.911 2020.273 55.529 615.751
2021-10-10 2531.979 2809.829 323.51 1470.92 2146.821 1434.013 1736.786 2020.83 56.15 616.343
2021-10-11 2532.374 2810.796 323.64 1471.403 2150.131 1439.029 1738.449 2021.241 56.654 617.074
2021-10-12 2533.602 2811.614 323.802 1472.786 2157.199 1447.564 1740.672 2023.894 57.313 618.107
2021-10-13 2534.369 2812.577 323.979 1473.402 2166.892 1458.906 1742.64 2025.888 58.011 619.225
2021-10-14 2535.488 2815.25 324.251 1474.068 2173.329 1468.867 1744.666 2028.19 58.438 620.244
2021-10-15 2536.08 2817.619 324.37 1475.001 2178.817 1473.952 1746.714 2030.272 58.748 621.163
2021-10-16 2536.145 2819.792 324.473 1475.417 2180.397 1480.831 1748.107 2032.442 59.407 621.83
2021-10-17 2536.211 2820.39 324.592 1475.834 2181.755 1486.26 1749.315 2033.278 59.834 622.372
2021-10-18 2537.044 2821.334 324.71 1475.95 2186.993 1490.723 1751.386 2033.937 60.415 623.192
2021-10-19 2537.768 2823.105 324.851 1476.866 2193.412 1503.653 1754.098 2037.207 61.152 624.242
2021-10-20 2538.492 2824.97 324.966 1478.199 2203.033 1515.547 1756.5 2039.831 61.656 625.347
2021-10-21 2539.062 2827.147 325.132 1479.548 2209.005 1528.683 1758.803 2041.547 62.47 626.325
2021-10-22 2539.566 2829.236 325.61 1480.48 2214.7 1543.407 1760.907 2044.186 62.897 627.366
2021-10-23 2539.654 2830.872 326.013 1480.863 2216.319 1555.14 1762.848 2046.165 63.479 628.103
2021-10-24 2539.72 2831.428 326.331 1481.047 2217.052 1564.596 1764.248 2047.22 63.905 628.677
2021-10-25 2540.268 2832.395 326.586 1481.197 2221.299 1572.809 1766.525 2047.778 64.099 629.522
2021-10-26 2540.597 2834.278 327.006 1482.079 2226.159 1590.408 1769.635 2051.633 64.719 630.526
2021-10-27 2541.101 2836.311 327.532 1483.112 2232.395 1607.065 1772.882 2054.668 65.766 631.692
2021-10-28 2541.693 2838.054 328.11 1484.028 2237.928 1621.352 1775.434 2057.102 66.232 632.779
2021-10-29 2542.11 2839.961 328.504 1484.811 2243.143 1636.674 1778.39 2059.829 66.775 633.805
2021-10-30 2542.263 2840.97 328.824 1485.011 2244.23 1649.764 1780.431 2062.263 67.279 634.565
2021-10-31 2542.438 2841.592 329.004 1485.244 2244.93 1658.115 1782.131 2063.348 67.589 635.134
2021-11-01 2543.294 2842.073 329.322 1485.277 2248.685 1665.684 1784.727 2063.934 68.093 635.932
2021-11-02 2543.754 2842.783 329.545 1485.577 2252.544 1682.571 1788.019 2068.215 68.558 636.855
2021-11-03 2544.171 2843.671 329.876 1485.96 2258.453 1699.871 1791.559 2071.397 69.063 637.926
2021-11-04 2544.741 2845.699 330.034 1486.476 2262.081 1716.643 1795.193 2074.534 69.605 638.894
2021-11-05 2545.355 2847.484 330.316 1487.209 2268.458 1733.414 1798.52 2077.364 69.993 639.986
2021-11-06 2545.53 2848.9 330.693 1487.609 2269.843 1752.486 1801.031 2079.636 70.381 640.826
2021-11-07 2545.815 2849.228 330.884 1487.825 2270.405 1763.575 1802.621 2080.545 70.846 641.394
2021-11-08 2546.67 2849.788 331.122 1488.158 2274.051 1775.055 1805.913 2081.381 71.389 642.242
2021-11-09 2547.153 2850.76 331.453 1488.741 2278.518 1794.863 1809.945 2085.222 72.048 643.289
2021-11-10 2547.569 2852.017 331.697 1489.541 2283.57 1814.372 1814.22 2088.36 72.204 644.325
2021-11-11 2548.118 2853.139 332.056 1489.824 2286.154 1830.085 1817.876 2091.219 72.63 645.303
2021-11-12 2548.403 2856.041 332.454 1490.107 2293.636 1848.076 1821.126 2093.345 72.785 646.448
2021-11-13 2548.534 2857.475 332.659 1490.224 2295.306 1864.733 1823.865 2095.647 72.979 647.242
2021-11-14 2548.622 2857.779 332.749 1490.357 2295.877 1874.579 1825.674 2096.57 73.212 647.826
2021-11-15 2549.017 2858.106 332.89 1490.44 2299.695 1885.3 1829.458 2097.259 73.6 648.713
2021-11-16 2549.981 2858.775 333.106 1490.69 2303.72 1905.2 1833.778 2100.397 73.949 649.69
2021-11-17 2550.398 2860.536 333.443 1490.873 2308.778 1923.513 1838.651 2103.344 74.53 650.858
2021-11-18 2551.012 2861.807 333.773 1491.539 2312.764 1941.55 1842.712 2106.261 74.957 651.91
2021-11-19 2551.429 2862.92 333.964 1491.656 2318.189 1958.988 1846.831 2108.563 75.151 652.93
2021-11-20 2551.736 2863.887 334.189 1491.822 2319.535 1975.001 1849.722 2110.762 75.383 653.7
2021-11-21 2551.801 2864.335 334.368 1491.856 2320.132 1984.502 1851.336 2111.657 75.538 654.274
2021-11-22 2551.911 2864.924 334.537 1492.022 2323.845 1992.669 1855.887 2112.316 76.314 655.194
2021-11-23 2552.635 2866.303 334.851 1492.872 2327.975 2010.062 1860.487 2114.735 76.508 656.217
2021-11-24 2553.577 2867.569 335.135 1493.238 2333.229 2024.51 1865.523 2116.92 76.702 657.318
2021-11-25 2554.06 2868.915 335.485 1495.137 2334.625 2039.809 1870.23 2119.075 76.973 658.302
2021-11-26 2554.608 2870.34 335.819 1495.337 2335.728 2054.602 1874.472 2121.421 77.167 659.166
2021-11-27 2554.871 2871.401 336.265 1495.47 2336.659 2068.497 1877.464 2123.342 77.322 659.916
2021-11-28 2555.134 2871.775 336.434 1495.57 2337.323 2078.482 1879.51 2124.089 77.438 660.52
2021-11-29 2555.682 2872.326 336.57 1495.986 2343.093 2086.028 1884.045 2124.602 77.787 661.507
2021-11-30 2556.45 2873.85 336.762 1496.336 2347.671 2099.716 1889.233 2126.948 77.981 662.517
2021-12-01 2556.625 2875.102 337.104 1496.802 2353.994 2113.336 1894.269 2129.455 78.369 663.693
2021-12-02 2557.064 2876.018 337.385 1497.535 2365.705 2126.173 1899.171 2131.523 78.834 664.976
2021-12-03 2557.546 2877.112 337.683 1498.018 2370.611 2138.643 1904.204 2133.619 79.183 666.053
2021-12-04 2557.634 2877.794 337.683 1498.368 2372.605 2149.363 1907.42 2135.481 79.494 666.749
2021-12-05 2557.7 2878.126 339.841 1498.385 2373.608 2156.449 1909.12 2136.273 79.726 667.678
2021-12-06 2558.445 2878.742 339.999 1498.534 2377.651 2162.615 1913.274 2136.889 80.075 668.567
2021-12-07 2558.95 2879.962 340.138 1498.984 2382.755 2174.049 1919.509 2139.528 80.347 669.621
2021-12-08 2559.059 2881.084 340.253 1499.584 2388.21 2185.092 1924.274 2141.917 80.735 670.641
2021-12-09 2559.3 2882.018 340.517 1499.95 2392.802 2196.572 1930.162 2144.087 80.812 671.762
2021-12-10 2559.936 2883.084 340.799 1500.283 2398.296 2207.477 1935.493 2145.847 81.433 672.788
2021-12-11 2560.199 2883.331 341.202 1500.883 2400.06 2218.405 1938.512 2147.782 81.588 673.544
2021-12-12 2560.441 2883.715 341.347 1501.233 2401.003 2224.57 1940.516 2148.544 81.665 674.124
2021-12-13 2560.901 2883.925 341.528 1501.416 2405.181 2229.517 1945.122 2149.101 81.937 674.957
2021-12-14 2561.647 2884.453 341.705 1501.815 2409.72 2239.133 1950.889 2151.301 82.092 675.939
2021-12-15 2562.326 2885.845 341.951 1502.715 2416.562 2248.013 1956.473 2153.705 82.441 677.103
2021-12-16 2562.699 2886.42 342.232 1503.314 2420.329 2256.825 1961.54 2155.86 82.751 678.029
2021-12-17 2563.094 2887.346 342.232 1503.897 2425.892 2265.015 1965.874 2157.517 83.061 678.917
2021-12-18 2563.247 2887.99 342.439 1504.697 2427.793 2272.285 1970.067 2159.35 83.216 679.683
2021-12-19 2563.335 2888.247 342.723 1504.747 2428.553 2276.955 1972.059 2160.009 83.216 680.229
2021-12-20 2563.927 2888.635 343.049 1506.496 2433.215 2281.119 1976.605 2160.64 83.527 681.109
2021-12-21 2564.431 2888.967 343.277 1507.078 2439.072 2289.746 1981.635 2163.176 83.837 682.09
2021-12-22 2564.672 2889.649 343.588 1508.727 2445.425 2297.292 1986.704 2165.243 84.263 683.132
2021-12-23 2565.001 2890.238 343.857 1509.976 2455.834 2304.263 1991.362 2167.399 84.612 684.307
2021-12-24 2565.637 2891 344.134 1511.326 2457.837 2310.567 1994.743 2169.407 84.845 685.051
2021-12-25 2565.9 2891.145 344.251 1511.825 2458.378 2317.331 1997.684 2169.554 84.923 685.585
2021-12-26 2566.229 2891.36 344.477 1512.508 2458.9 2321.104 1999.104 2169.598 85.155 686.037
2021-12-27 2566.909 2891.663 344.687 1512.758 2464.478 2324.739 2003.265 2171.694 85.388 686.886
2021-12-28 2567.326 2892.509 344.904 1513.174 2471.597 2328.489 2007.954 2171.973 85.698 687.824
2021-12-29 2567.896 2893.056 345.096 1514.523 2478.422 2336.219 2013.769 2172.823 86.241 688.839
2021-12-30 2568.663 2893.776 345.254 1516.622 2482.894 2343.097 2018.368 2177.691 86.823 689.792
2021-12-31 2569.168 2894.173 345.545 1518.021 2484.88 2348.642 2022.273 2180.667 87.365 690.622
2022-01-01 2569.431 2894.327 345.749 1518.904 2485.871 2353.519 2024.753 2182.925 87.521 691.153
2022-01-02 2569.935 2894.486 345.837 1519.403 2486.796 2356.303 2026.005 2183.995 87.87 691.549
2022-01-03 2570.834 2894.822 345.926 1520.802 2492.116 2359.455 2029.798 2184.611 88.025 692.309
2022-01-04 2571.908 2895.668 346.31 1523.117 2498.832 2363.113 2034.699 2185.329 88.8 693.306
2022-01-05 2573.049 2895.668 346.543 1524.949 2505.008 2369.946 2039.921 2190.373 89.266 694.305
2022-01-06 2573.926 2895.668 346.76 1534.126 2510.79 2374.8 2044.044 2193.759 90.002 695.231
2022-01-07 2574.847 2896.453 346.964 1536.458 2517.618 2379.608 2047.309 2197.132 90.623 696.132
2022-01-08 2575.658 2896.991 347.199 1538.44 2519.763 2381.656 2049.697 2201.72 91.747 696.792
2022-01-09 2576.25 2898.458 347.304 1539.806 2521.096 2383.772 2051.086 2203.143 92.562 697.27
2022-01-10 2577.368 2898.995 347.502 1541.088 2526.74 2386.096 2054.358 2204.286 93.647 698.069
2022-01-11 2578.508 2899.654 347.502 1543.07 2533.709 2391.479 2060.194 2209.872 95.586 699.147
2022-01-12 2580.153 2900.28 348.092 1546.085 2541.201 2396.287 2065.588 2215.737 97.797 700.323
2022-01-13 2583.179 2901.164 348.161 1548.733 2546.974 2401.073 2069.872 2220.648 99.735 701.244
2022-01-14 2585.218 2902.253 348.607 1550.864 2553.979 2404.616 2074.226 2224.607 101.636 702.3
2022-01-15 2587.148 2903.047 348.832 1553.546 2556.478 2407.882 2077.209 2228.814 103.652 703.062
2022-01-16 2588.266 2903.486 349.109 1554.978 2558.175 2410.229 2078.913 2230.105 104.389 703.587
2022-01-17 2592.454 2904.192 349.331 1556.427 2561.62 2412.323 2082.979 2231.395 107.53 704.395
2022-01-18 2596.598 2905.711 349.648 1558.426 2567.321 2416.993 2088.395 2237.846 110.244 705.467
2022-01-19 2601.159 2907.215 350 1558.426 2578.766 2421.065 2092.648 2243.109 112.067 706.789
2022-01-20 2605.128 2908.856 350.504 1563.006 2586.212 2424.378 2097.286 2247.947 115.479 707.947

V ¯ i = 1 7 ∑ j=i−3 j=i+3 V j     (1) MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaaguart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbnvMCYL2DLfgDOvMCaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharuavP1wzZbItLDhis9wBH5garqqtubsr4rNCHbGeaGak0Jf9crFfpeea0xh9v8qiW7rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=xfr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaaeaqbaaGcbaGabmOvayaaraWaaSbaaSqaaiaadMgaaeqaaOGaeyypa0ZaaSaaaeaacaaIXaaabaGaaG4naaaadaaeWbqaaiaadAfadaWgaaWcbaGaamOAaaqabaaabaGaamOAaiabg2da9iaadMgacqGHsislcaaIZaaabaGaamOAaiabg2da9iaadMgacqGHRaWkcaaIZaaaniabggHiLdGccaqGGaGaaeiiaiaabccacaqGGaGaaeikaiaabgdacaqGPaaaaa@5393@

and averaged new daily numbers DCC and DDC as follows:

d V ¯ dt | t= t i ≈ 1 2 ( V ¯ i+1 − V ¯ i−1 )    (2) MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaaguart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbnvMCYL2DLfgDOvMCaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharuavP1wzZbItLDhis9wBH5garqqtubsr4rNCHbGeaGak0Jf9crFfpeea0xh9v8qiW7rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=xfr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaaeaqbaaGcbaWaaqGaaeaadaWcaaqaaiaadsgadaahaaWcbeqaaaaakiqadAfagaqeamaaBaaaleaaaeqaaaGcbaGaamizaiaadshaaaaacaGLiWoadaWgaaWcbaGaamiDaiabg2da9iaadshadaWgaaadbaGaamyAaaqabaaaleqaaOGaeyisIS7aaSaaaeaacaaIXaaabaGaaGOmaaaadaqadaqaaiqadAfagaqeamaaBaaaleaacaWGPbGaey4kaSIaaGymaaqabaGccqGHsislceWGwbGbaebadaWgaaWcbaGaamyAaiabgkHiTiaaigdaaeqaaaGccaGLOaGaayzkaaGaaeiiaiaabccacaqGGaGaaeiiaiaabIcacaqGYaGaaeykaaaa@58EB@

Formulas (1)- (2) can yield the averaged DCC and DDC values which are closer to the characteristics at the moments of time ti in comparison with ones calculated by JHU [5] with the use of Vj corresponding only to previous moments of time.

Tables 5,6 represent the accumulated numbers of fully vaccinated people and boosters per hundred for the period of August 25, 2021 to January 20, 2022 for the same countries and regions according to [5]. The highest levels of vaccinations have been achieved in Australia, Argentina, EU and the UK (as of January, 2022, the percentage of fully vaccinated people have exceeded 70%). Rather high levels have Brazil (69.2%) and USA (63.0%), but VC values in South Africa (27.2%), Ukraine (33.2%) and India (48.2%) were still lower than the world average (51.7%). The booster figures in Ukraine, India and South Africa were negligible in 2021. They are not listed in JHU statistics [5] and in table 6. We will use datasets from tables 5,6 without any smoothing. Since JHU often changes its data sets, we have to clarify that the data in tables 1-6 correspond to the version of the file published on January 22, 2022.

Table 5:  Numbers of fully vaccinated persons per hundred VC for the period August 25, 2021 - January 20, 2022, [5].
  Argentina Brazil India South Africa United States Ukraine European Union United Kingdom Australia World
2021-08-25 27.49 27.03 9.66   52.97 7.65 56.72 61.92 25.83 24.81
2021-08-26 28.32 27.48 9.78   53.09 7.93 56.99 62.13 26.4 26.38
2021-08-27 29.1 27.92 10.01 9.33 53.25 8.18 57.21 62.33 26.95 26.58
2021-08-28 29.87 28.23 10.22   53.36 8.31 57.39 62.52 27.32 26.7
2021-08-29 30.42 28.35 10.37   53.42 8.38 57.66 62.64 27.51 26.91
2021-08-30 30.99 28.69 10.49 9.69 53.55 8.61 57.92 62.74 28.01 27.04
2021-08-31 31.55 29.3 10.61 9.97 53.67 8.84 58.19 62.91 28.58 27.21
2021-09-01 32.42 29.79 10.9 10.23 53.79 9.03 58.44 63.08 29.13 27.4
2021-09-02 33.16 30.33 11.06 10.5 53.91 9.27 58.67 63.25 29.68 27.54
2021-09-03 34.01 30.89 11.19   54.06 9.54 58.85 63.41 30.22 27.66
2021-09-04 34.64 31.2 11.25   54.14 9.66 59 63.6 30.55 27.78
2021-09-05 35.29 31.3 11.42 10.81 54.19 9.73 59.26 63.71 30.73 27.92
2021-09-06 35.79 31.64 11.53   54.22 9.95 59.44 63.83 31.2 29.06
2021-09-07 36.72 31.79 11.75 11.24 54.36 10.18 59.66 63.95 31.75 29.22
2021-09-08 37.36 32.31 11.99   54.48 10.42 59.85 64.08 32.3 29.44
2021-09-09 38.08 32.99 12.22 11.47 54.6 10.67 60.03 64.22 32.89 29.65
2021-09-10 38.77 33.73 12.28 11.91 54.75 10.93 60.19 64.36 33.47 29.79
2021-09-11 39.49 34.14 12.52 11.97 54.84 11.03 60.32 64.5 33.82 29.94
2021-09-12 39.88 34.28 12.7 11.99 54.89 11.1 60.53 64.58 34.02 30.09
2021-09-13 40.07 34.76 12.94 12.21 55 11.28 60.68 64.67 34.59 30.24
2021-09-14 40.53 35.43 12.99 12.45 55.11 11.46 60.85 64.77 35.16 30.38
2021-09-15 41.09 35.98 13.24 12.67 55.23 11.57 61.01 64.86 35.74 31.07
2021-09-16 41.82 36.44 13.53 12.88 55.35 11.69 61.15 64.95 36.3 31.23
2021-09-17 42.54 37.17 13.73   55.49 11.81 61.28 65.04 36.95 31.35
2021-09-18 43.03 37.5 14.27   55.57 11.87 61.39 65.15 37.35 31.66
2021-09-19 43.51 37.61 14.54 13.18 55.62 11.9 61.56 65.2 37.62 31.79
2021-09-20 43.88 37.97 14.76   55.73 12.01 61.72 65.27 38.21 31.93
2021-09-21 44.46 38.54 15.03 13.5 55.83 12.12 61.86 65.33 38.85 32.09
2021-09-22 45.18 39.09 15.19 13.7 55.93 12.24 62.01 65.4 39.49 32.22
2021-09-23 45.7 39.66 15.5 13.9 56.03 12.37 62.13 65.46 40.15 32.37
2021-09-24 46.05 40.24 15.81 13.93 56.15 12.51 62.25 65.53 40.8 32.51
2021-09-25 46.52 40.56 15.97   56.22 12.57 62.35 65.6 41.24 32.62
2021-09-26 46.79 40.71 16.09 13.98 56.26 12.61 62.49 65.63 41.51 32.72
2021-09-27 47.03 41.04 16.47 14.16 56.33 12.72 62.59 65.68 42.12 32.95
2021-09-28 47.44 41.64 16.61   56.42 12.85 62.69 65.73 42.81 33.4
2021-09-29 47.97 42.18 16.82   56.51 12.97 62.8 65.78 43.44 33.53
2021-09-30 48.43 42.73 17.04 14.69 56.61 13.1 62.9 65.83 44.15 33.68
2021-10-01 48.98 43.35 17.26   56.72 13.23 63 65.88 44.87 33.8
2021-10-02 49.53 43.67 17.51   56.78 13.29 63.07 65.93 45.33 33.91
2021-10-03 49.9 43.77 17.68 15.11 56.82 13.33 63.16 65.96 45.63 34.02
2021-10-04 50.18 44.08 17.86   56.9 13.44 63.25 66.01 46.02 34.16
2021-10-05 50.49 44.51 18.09 15.6 56.97 13.57 63.32 66.05 46.86 34.37
2021-10-06 50.85 45.02 18.27 15.87 57.05 13.72 63.4 66.09 47.67 34.5
2021-10-07 51.27 45.51 18.39   57.13 13.87 63.48 66.13 48.48 34.64
2021-10-08 51.67 46.01 18.66 16.13 57.22 14.04 63.56 66.18 49.33 34.81
2021-10-09 51.91 46.3 18.93   57.27 14.12 63.62 66.22 49.96 34.93
2021-10-10 52.22 46.51 19.21   57.3 14.16 63.7 66.25 50.4 35.09
2021-10-11 52.47 46.77 19.35 16.51 57.37 14.31 63.79 66.29 51.23 35.22
2021-10-12   46.88 19.57   57.44 14.48 63.88 66.33 52.14  
2021-10-13 52.7 47.13 19.73 17.02 57.51 14.66 63.96 66.37 53.02 35.46
2021-10-14 52.99 47.79 19.82   57.57 14.69 64.04 66.41 53.87 35.57
2021-10-15 53.3 48.38 19.93 17.55 57.66 14.85 64.13 66.45 54.68 35.67
2021-10-16 53.75 48.75 20   57.7 14.93 64.19 66.5 55.24 35.74
2021-10-17   48.89 20.15 17.92 57.72 14.98 64.26 66.53 55.69  
2021-10-18   49.17 20.26   57.79 15.17 64.32 66.56 56.45  
2021-10-19 54.29 49.7 20.6 18.38 57.84 15.37 64.39 66.61 57.21 36.19
2021-10-20 54.59 50.27 20.92   57.9 15.56 64.48 66.65 57.96 36.36
2021-10-21 54.73 50.56 21.07   57.96 15.76 64.56 66.69 58.73 36.5
2021-10-22 55.04 50.93 21.35   58.03 15.96 64.63 66.73 59.49 36.63
2021-10-23 55.32 51.13 21.5 19.23 58.07 16.07 64.7 66.77 60.04 37.02
2021-10-24 55.5 51.38 21.86   58.1 16.13 64.75 66.8 60.37 37.16
2021-10-25 55.56 52.13 21.94 19.48 58.16 16.29 64.83 66.83 61.01 37.28
2021-10-26 55.8 52.61 22.23   58.22 16.47 64.9 66.86 61.63 37.41
2021-10-27 56.08 53.11 22.47   58.28 16.65 64.98 66.9 62.24 37.52
2021-10-28 56.3 53.56 22.74   58.34 16.82 65.06 66.93 62.87 37.67
2021-10-29 56.63 54 23.15   58.42 17.02 65.14 66.96 63.45 37.92
2021-10-30 56.77 54.16 23.44 20.49 58.45 17.12 65.19 67 63.86 38.08
2021-10-31 56.91 54.26 23.62 20.51 58.47 17.19 65.24 67.02 64.1 38.29
2021-11-01 56.98 54.34 23.83   58.53 17.34 65.27 67.05 64.68 38.4
2021-11-02 57.1 54.39 23.92 20.88 58.59 17.52 65.34 67.08 65.06 38.51
2021-11-03 57.16 54.68 24.15 21.02 58.64 17.72 65.41 67.11 65.56 38.61
2021-11-04 57.81 55.11 24.24 21.21 58.7 17.91 65.48 67.14 66.05 38.73
2021-11-05   55.72 24.27   58.77 18.13 65.55 67.17 66.56  
2021-11-06 58.06 55.92 24.39 21.32 58.81 18.23 65.6 67.2 66.84 38.97
2021-11-07 58.41 56.03 24.54 21.34 58.83 18.31 65.64 67.23 67.02 39.07
2021-11-08 58.59 56.49 24.79 21.54 58.88 18.54 65.7 67.26 67.43 39.18
2021-11-09 58.73 56.89 24.99 21.7 58.93 18.81 65.77 67.29 67.81 39.31
2021-11-10 58.93 57.31 25.28 21.86 58.98 19.11 65.83 67.36 68.18 39.45
2021-11-11 59.16 57.76 25.54   59.02 19.42 65.89 67.39 68.56 39.6
2021-11-12 59.4 58.14 26 22.19 59.08 19.8 65.97 67.42 68.94 39.76
2021-11-13 59.65 58.35 26.39 22.28 59.11 19.98 66.02 67.46 69.16 39.92
2021-11-14 59.95 58.47 26.57 22.32 59.13 20.11 66.07 67.48 69.3 40.05
2021-11-15 60.26 58.63 26.77 22.47 59.18 20.49 66.13 67.51 69.64 40.15
2021-11-16   58.84 27.1 22.62 59.23 20.91 66.2 67.54 69.96  
2021-11-17 61.08 59.33 27.47 22.77 59.28 21.35 66.28 67.57 70.25 40.39
2021-11-18   59.65 27.86 22.92 59.33 21.79 66.34 67.6 70.55  
2021-11-19 61.99 59.99 28.09   59.39 22.27 66.41 67.63 70.83 40.7
2021-11-20 62.23 60.21 28.59 23.1 59.42 22.51 66.47 67.67 71 40.85
2021-11-21 62.36 60.38 28.78 23.11 59.44 22.67 66.51 67.69 71.05 40.97
2021-11-22 62.5 60.67 29.15 23.23 59.49 23.11 66.57 67.72 71.39 41.1
2021-11-23 62.81 61 29.55 23.37 59.54 23.57 66.63 67.75 71.63 41.22
2021-11-24   61.32 30.05 23.51 59.59 24.02 66.7 67.78 71.87  
2021-11-25 63.57 61.55 30.29   59.59 24.46 66.77 67.82 72.1 41.47
2021-11-26   61.87 30.87 23.76 59.64 24.91 66.84 67.85 72.34  
2021-11-27 64.11 62 30.96 23.8 59.7 25.14 66.91 67.9 72.46 41.72
2021-11-28 64.29 62.1 31.47   59.74 25.28 66.96 67.94 72.53 41.89
2021-11-29 64.71 62.17 31.73 23.96 59.85 25.64 67.12 67.98 72.74 42.45
2021-11-30 65.15 62.58 32.15 24.11 59.96 26 67.18 68.03 72.94 42.62
2021-12-01 65.46 62.92 32.57 24.25 60.08 26.31 67.25 68.07 73.13 42.76
2021-12-02 65.79 63.24 33.11 24.68 60.2 26.62 67.33 68.12 73.33 43.34
2021-12-03 66.09 63.76 33.4   60.34 26.94 67.4 68.16 73.53 43.63
2021-12-04 66.25 63.94 34.02 24.87 60.47 27.11 67.46 68.22 73.64 43.8
2021-12-05 66.36 63.98 34.26 24.9 60.53 27.21 67.51 68.26 73.71 43.92
2021-12-06   64.19 34.51 25.02 60.62 27.47 67.58 68.3 73.89  
2021-12-07 66.65 64.44 34.92 25.16 60.72 27.75 67.65 68.34 74.07 44.15
2021-12-08 67.18 64.6 35.32 25.29 60.82 28 67.72 68.38 74.26 44.32
2021-12-09   64.92 35.75   60.92 28.24 67.79 68.43 74.44  
2021-12-10 67.69 65.11 35.95 25.53 61.04 28.49 67.88 68.48 74.6 45.07
2021-12-11 67.85 65.14 36.75   61.13 28.62 67.95 68.53 74.69 45.28
2021-12-12 67.94 65.15 36.94 25.58 61.17 28.71 68 68.58 74.73 45.43
2021-12-13 68.18 65.32 37.14 25.67 61.25 28.91 68.07 68.62 74.95 45.54
2021-12-14 68.48 65.49 37.7 25.77 61.34 29.13 68.15 68.68 75.13 45.7
2021-12-15 68.76 65.84 38.03 25.87 61.41 29.35 68.24 68.73 75.31 45.83
2021-12-16 68.98 65.97 38.25 25.96 61.46 29.55 68.33 68.8 75.49 45.92
2021-12-17 69.19 66.08 38.74   61.54 29.77 68.42 68.86 75.67 46.37
2021-12-18 69.32 66.11 39.16   61.58 29.87 68.49 68.93 75.77 46.48
2021-12-19 69.4 66.12 39.34 25.98 61.61 29.93 68.54 68.98 75.82 46.67
2021-12-20 69.61 66.22 39.54   61.67 30.1 68.62 69.06 75.96 46.86
2021-12-21   66.32 40 26.12 61.74 30.28 68.7 69.14 76.08  
2021-12-22 69.88 66.53 40.14   61.81 30.46 68.79 69.22 76.2 47.06
2021-12-23 70.15   40.54   61.86 30.64 68.85 69.28 76.31 47.18
2021-12-24 70.45   40.89 26.25 61.88 30.82 68.87 69.3 76.31 47.29
2021-12-25     41.4   61.88 30.86 68.88 69.3 76.31  
2021-12-26 70.45   41.44 26.26 61.9 30.91 68.9 69.31 76.39 47.6
2021-12-27 70.5 66.71 41.63 26.26 61.97 30.98 68.97 69.34 76.41 47.69
2021-12-28 71.07 66.81 42.05 26.32 62.04 31.2 69.05 69.38 76.43 47.95
2021-12-29   66.96 42.55 26.37 62.11 31.39 69.11 69.45 76.52  
2021-12-30 71.57 67.01 42.74   62.17 31.56 69.18 69.51 76.61 48.34
2021-12-31 71.61 67.03 43.29   62.2 31.65 69.2 69.54 76.61 48.47
2022-01-01 71.61 67.03 43.57 26.43 62.2 31.65 69.2 69.55 76.61 48.56
2022-01-02 71.66 67.04 43.7 26.44 62.23 31.65 69.3 69.57 76.69 48.61
2022-01-03   67.16 43.92 26.49 62.28 31.71 69.37 69.62 76.71  
2022-01-04 72.09 67.18 44.1 26.61 62.34 31.88 69.46 69.68 76.8 48.82
2022-01-05   67.23 44.33   62.41 32.04 69.54 69.74 76.9  
2022-01-06 72.56   44.56   62.47 32.14 69.61 69.79 77 49.06
2022-01-07     44.92 26.75 62.53 32.14 69.7 69.84 77.1  
2022-01-08 72.91   45   62.58 32.18 69.78 69.92 77.15 49.24
2022-01-09 72.99 67.47 45.32 26.77 62.6 32.21 69.83 69.96 77.19 49.36
2022-01-10 73.18 67.63 45.52   62.66 32.34 69.91 70 77.28 49.65
2022-01-11 73.37 67.7 45.94   62.71 32.48 70 70.04 77.35 49.77
2022-01-12 73.57 67.76 46.15   62.77 32.6 70.1 70.09 77.43 49.86
2022-01-13 73.75 67.88 46.47   62.82 32.7 70.19 70.13 77.51 49.99
2022-01-14 73.93 67.94 46.57   62.87 32.8 70.26 70.18 77.58 50.1
2022-01-15 74.02 67.97 46.9   62.89 32.85 70.31 70.27 77.62 50.2
2022-01-16 74.07 68.36 47.08   62.9 32.87 70.34 70.32 77.64 50.3
2022-01-17   68.8 47.27 26.92 62.94 32.96 70.4 70.36 77.69  
2022-01-18 74.27 68.94 47.28 27 62.97 33.04 70.48 70.4 77.75 51.45
2022-01-19 74.45 69.04 47.91 27.08 62.98 33.11 70.54 70.45 77.81 51.6
2022-01-20 74.83 69.18 48.22 27.15 62.98 33.19 70.6   77.88 51.69
Table 6:  Numbers of boosters per hundred in different regions for the period August 25, 2021 - January 20, 2022, [5].
  Argentina Brazil United States European Union United Kingdom Australia World
2021-08-25     0.3 0.04     0.21
2021-08-26     0.33 0.04     0.22
2021-08-27     0.37 0.04     0.22
2021-08-28     0.39 0.04     0.22
2021-08-29     0.4 0.04     0.23
2021-08-30     0.43 0.04     0.23
2021-08-31     0.46 0.12     0.24
2021-09-01     0.49 0.13     0.25
2021-09-02   0 0.53 0.15     0.26
2021-09-03   0 0.56 0.16     0.27
2021-09-04   0 0.58 0.16     0.27
2021-09-05   0 0.58 0.17     0.27
2021-09-06   0.01 0.59 0.19     0.28
2021-09-07   0.01 0.62 0.2     0.28
2021-09-08   0.01 0.64 0.22     0.29
2021-09-09   0.02 0.67 0.24     0.3
2021-09-10   0.02 0.7 0.26     0.3
2021-09-11   0.03 0.72 0.26     0.31
2021-09-12   0.03 0.73 0.27     0.31
2021-09-13   0.04 0.75 0.29     0.31
2021-09-14   0.06 0.77 0.32     0.32
2021-09-15   0.09 0.79 0.35     0.33
2021-09-16   0.1 0.81 0.38     0.33
2021-09-17   0.12 0.84 0.4     0.34
2021-09-18   0.12 0.86 0.41     0.34
2021-09-19   0.12 0.86 0.42     0.35
2021-09-20   0.16 0.89 0.44     0.35
2021-09-21   0.18 0.91 0.48     0.36
2021-09-22   0.2 0.94 0.51     0.37
2021-09-23   0.21 0.97 0.55     0.37
2021-09-24   0.24 1.05 0.58     0.39
2021-09-25   0.25 1.12 0.59     0.4
2021-09-26   0.26 1.16 0.6     0.4
2021-09-27   0.38 1.31 0.63     0.42
2021-09-28   0.41 1.47 0.67     0.43
2021-09-29   0.44 1.63 0.71     0.44
2021-09-30   0.51 1.79 0.75 1.27   0.47
2021-10-01   0.61 1.97 0.78 1.5   0.49
2021-10-02   0.66 2.05 0.8 1.78   0.5
2021-10-03   0.68 2.08 0.8 1.91   0.5
2021-10-04   0.77 2.23 0.85 2.1   0.52
2021-10-05   0.88 2.38 0.95 2.33   0.55
2021-10-06   1.01 2.53 1.01 2.56   0.57
2021-10-07   1.17 2.68 1.08 2.82 0 0.59
2021-10-08   1.32 2.85 1.13 3.08 0 0.61
2021-10-09   1.42 2.91 1.15 3.45 0 0.63
2021-10-10   1.46 2.95 1.18 3.58 0 0.63
2021-10-11   1.53 3.07 1.22 3.77 0 0.65
2021-10-12   1.55 3.21 1.28 4.01 0 0.66
2021-10-13   1.66 3.34 1.36 4.68 0.01 0.69
2021-10-14   1.75 3.48 1.43 5.03 0.01 0.71
2021-10-15   1.91 3.63 1.49 5.36 0.01 0.73
2021-10-16   2.02 3.69 1.52 5.81 0.01 0.75
2021-10-17   2.07 3.72 1.54 5.98 0.01 0.75
2021-10-18   2.26 3.84 1.6 6.24 0.01 0.77
2021-10-19   2.4 3.97 1.67 6.58 0.01 0.8
2021-10-20   2.58 4.1 1.77 6.96 0.02 0.82
2021-10-21   2.7 4.23 1.85 7.85 0.02 0.85
2021-10-22   2.86 4.48 1.93 8.29 0.02 0.88
2021-10-23   2.91 4.63 1.97 8.84 0.03 0.9
2021-10-24   2.96 4.72 1.99 9.09 0.03 0.91
2021-10-25   3.21 5.01 2.27 9.44 0.03 0.95
2021-10-26   3.43 5.33 2.37 9.83 0.03 0.99
2021-10-27   3.61 5.65 2.55 10.26 0.04 1.03
2021-10-28   3.79 5.98 2.69 10.69 0.04 1.07
2021-10-29   3.99 6.34 2.79 11.11 0.05 1.1
2021-10-30   4.06 6.49 2.86 11.66 0.07 1.12
2021-10-31   4.11 6.57 2.89 11.9 0.08 1.13
2021-11-01   4.15 6.86 2.95 12.25 0.18 1.16
2021-11-02   4.18 7.16 3.08 12.69 0.28 1.2
2021-11-03   4.33 7.47 3.25 13.21 0.39 1.24
2021-11-04   4.45 7.79 3.44 13.7 0.49 1.28
2021-11-05   4.65 8.15 3.58 14.18 0.58 1.8
2021-11-06   4.74 8.31 3.65 14.8 0.67 1.82
2021-11-07   4.75 8.38 3.73 15.1 0.69 1.83
2021-11-08   4.93 8.62 3.9 15.51 0.74 1.88
2021-11-09   5.09 8.9 4.14 16.01 0.8 1.92
2021-11-10   5.25 9.2 4.38 16.79 0.86 1.97
2021-11-11   5.41 9.46 4.61 17.33 0.92 2.01
2021-11-12   5.58 9.8 4.8 17.86 0.97 2.2
2021-11-13   5.66 9.96 4.89 18.54 1 2.23
2021-11-14   5.68 10.04 5 18.86 1.01 2.24
2021-11-15 1.96 5.77 10.31 5.25 19.28 1.05 2.29
2021-11-16   5.86 10.61 5.52 19.79 1.1 2.34
2021-11-17 2.29 6.02 10.93 5.86 20.35 1.16 2.39
2021-11-18   6.2 11.25 6.19 20.92 1.21 2.45
2021-11-19 2.64 6.39 11.63 6.47 21.45 1.26 2.71
2021-11-20 2.77 6.49 11.83 6.62 22.13 1.29 2.74
2021-11-21 2.84 6.56 11.94 6.76 22.48 1.29 2.76
2021-11-22 2.91 6.73 12.27 7.13 22.93 1.34 2.82
2021-11-23 3.11 6.89 12.6 7.52 23.46 1.4 2.88
2021-11-24   7.05 12.84 7.94 24.02 1.46 2.94
2021-11-25 3.49 7.16 12.85 8.5 24.6 1.51 2.99
2021-11-26   7.32 13.06 8.9 25.14 1.57 3.05
2021-11-27 3.88 7.38 13.19 9.27 25.82 1.6 3.09
2021-11-28 3.94 7.43 13.28 9.46 26.24 1.61 3.12
2021-11-29 4.14 7.46 13.56 9.9 26.71 1.67 3.17
2021-11-30 4.36 7.73 13.89 10.49 27.28 1.74 3.25
2021-12-01 4.67 7.88 14.25 11.13 27.88 1.82 3.33
2021-12-02 4.99 8.05 14.64 11.77 28.5 1.92 3.41
2021-12-03 5.22 8.26 15.06 12.38 29.07 2.02 3.89
2021-12-04 5.38 8.4 15.27 12.88 29.75 2.06 3.95
2021-12-05 5.46 8.42 15.38 13.12 30.17 2.08 3.98
2021-12-06   8.63 15.7 13.74 30.66 2.17 4.06
2021-12-07 5.65 8.86 16.03 14.33 31.23 2.26 4.13
2021-12-08 5.96 9.03 16.37 14.99 31.84 2.37 4.21
2021-12-09   9.28 16.71 15.66 32.53 2.49 4.31
2021-12-10 6.43 9.49 17.08 16.4 33.15 2.6 4.71
2021-12-11 6.6 9.56 17.26 17.03 33.96 2.66 4.78
2021-12-12 6.71 9.6 17.37 17.93 34.54 2.7 4.86
2021-12-13 6.99 9.8 17.65 18.59 35.3 2.99 4.94
2021-12-14 7.28 10.01 17.96 19.43 36.26 3.37 5.05
2021-12-15 7.68 10.17 18.27 20.29 37.35 3.82 5.17
2021-12-16 8.03 10.41 18.59 21.13 38.62 4.33 5.28
2021-12-17 8.37 10.6 18.95 21.86 39.87 4.88 5.4
2021-12-18 8.56 10.66 19.14 22.56 41.24 5.15 5.52
2021-12-19 8.7 10.68 19.25 22.99 42.49 5.31 5.61
2021-12-20 9.05 10.9 19.58 23.69 43.8 5.86 5.74
2021-12-21   11.11 19.94 24.46 45.22 6.47 5.88
2021-12-22 9.39 11.34 20.28 25.2 46.45 7.12 6
2021-12-23 9.72 11.54 20.53 25.69 47.34 7.7 6.11
2021-12-24 9.98   20.6 25.84 47.59 7.7 6.15
2021-12-25     20.6 26.13 47.61 7.7 6.19
2021-12-26 10   20.67 26.31 47.64 8.12 6.22
2021-12-27 10.07 11.78 20.93 26.8 48.04 8.21 6.32
2021-12-28 11.01 12.04 21.21 27.44 48.52 8.32 6.42
2021-12-29   12.25 21.49 28 49.15 8.75 6.53
2021-12-30 12.1 12.39 21.75 28.48 49.74 9.23 6.63
2021-12-31 12.22 12.42 21.85 28.64 49.98 9.23 6.68
2022-01-01 12.26 12.42 21.86 29.03 50.01 9.23 6.71
2022-01-02 12.46 12.43 21.94 29.28 50.17 9.81 6.74
2022-01-03   12.63 22.14 29.82 50.38 9.95 6.82
2022-01-04 13.83 12.92 22.37 30.46 50.71 10.63 6.93
2022-01-05   13.18 22.6 31.03 51.07 11.5 7.03
2022-01-06 15.22   22.85 31.57 51.41 12.4 9.8
2022-01-07     23.12 32.14 51.74 13.28 9.9
2022-01-08 16.31   23.28 32.99 52.08 13.83 10
2022-01-09 16.62 13.87 23.36 33.44 52.29 14.16 10.08
2022-01-10 17.22 14.17 23.56 34.01 52.51 15 10.19
2022-01-11 17.91 14.47 23.77 34.63 52.71 15.94 10.29
2022-01-12 18.61 14.75 23.97 35.28 52.9 16.92 10.41
2022-01-13 19.31 15.01 24.17 36.54 53.06 17.91 10.69
2022-01-14 20.01 15.28 24.4 37.11 53.23 18.86 10.81
2022-01-15 20.38 15.36 24.53 37.74 53.38 19.38 10.9
2022-01-16 20.66 16.32 24.58 38.09 53.47 19.68 11
2022-01-17   17.63 24.69 38.54 53.58 20.62 11.12
2022-01-18 21.31 17.85 24.78 39.09 53.69 21.53 11.22
2022-01-19 22 18.31 24.79 39.54 53.79 22.48 11.32
2022-01-20 23.3 18.61 24.79 39.93   23.51 11.41

The DCC values calculated with the use of (1), (2) and datasets presented in tables 1,2 are shown in figures 1,2 for northern and southern regions, respectively. Dashed and solid lines correspond to the years 2020-2021 and 2021-2022, respectively. The vaccination levels from tables 5,6 are represented by “circles” and “crosses”, respectively. Figure 1 illustrates that for the Nordic countries and the world as a whole, the DCC values in 2021 mostly exceeded the corresponding numbers in 2020, despite the relatively high levels of vaccinations (compare solid and dashed lines). The case of the United Kingdom is particularly significant, where the DCC values ​​differed 1.5-25 times at the highest percentages of vaccinated individuals and persons who received a booster dose of a vaccine.

Figure 1: Averaged daily number of new cases per capita and vaccination levels for northern region in September-January, 2020, 2021, and 2022 (Ukraine – blue, EU- yellow, USA – red, UK – magenta, the whole world –black). Lines correspond to DCC*10 values calculated with the use of eqs. (1), (2), table 1 (2020 and 2021, dashed), and table 2 (2021 and 2022, solid). “Circles” and “crosses” show the numbers of fully vaccinated people and boosters per hundred, respectively (2021 and 2022, tables 5,6).
Figure 2: Averaged daily number of new cases per capita and vaccination levels for southern region in September-January, 2020, 2021, and 2022 (Argentina – blue, India - yellow, Brazil – green, South Africa – magenta, Australia-red, and the whole world –black). Lines correspond to DCC*10 values calculated with the use of eqs. (1), (2), table 1 (2020 and 2021, dashed), and table 2 (2021 and 2022, solid). “Circles” and “crosses” show the numbers of fully vaccinated people and boosters per hundred, respectively (2021 and 2022, tables 5,6).

The fact that a rather high vaccination level does not prevent the appearance of new COVID-19 pandemic waves was revealed already in September, 2021 [7]. In particular, the DCC numbers in Israel in the summer of 2021 were much higher than in Ukraine, despite the huge difference in vaccination levels [7,8]. The statistical analysis performed in [9] revealed no correlation between DCC and VC values. Thus, we can conclude that existing vaccines cannot prevent new infections and vaccinated people can spread the infection as intensively as non-vaccinated ones. Probably, it is connected with new strains of coronavirus and with limited in time effectiveness of antibodies. Many countries have introduced special passports (and/or QR codes) that remove restrictions for vaccinated persons to visit crowded places. Presented results illustrate that this does not make sense, since vaccinated and non-vaccinated persons spread the infection with more or less equal probability. Having fresh PCR (or other) tests can be a much more effective pass to crowded places in order to prevent the spread of infection.

Some interesting trends are visible in figure 2. For India, Brazil and Argentina (DCC values in 2020 and early 2021 mostly exceeded the corresponding numbers in 2021 and early 2022 (compare solid and dashed yellow, green and blue lines, respectively). In June and July (cold season for southern countries) the DCC values were higher in 2021 in comparison with 2020 for these countries (including South Africa), [6]. Probably we see the influence of the seasonal factor, since the vaccination levels in Southern countries were much lower than in the Northern ones (compare corresponding markers in figures 1,2).

Probably, a new omicron strain is responsible for very sharp increase of DCC values in South Africa after November 12, 2021 (see the solid magenta line in figure 2). Later the omicron caused a sharp increase in DCC values in all the countries and regions taken for our analysis (see solid lines, in figures 1,2). We see two severe epidemic waves in Ukraine in 2021-2022 (the solid blue line in figure 1). Probably, the first one (started in September 2021) was not connected with the omicron. Approximately in one month the daily numbers of new cases start to decrease for the “omicron” waves (see solid magenta and red lines in figure 1 and solid magenta, red and blue lines in figure 2). In January 2022, we can expect diminishing the DCC numbers in Brazil, India, EU, and worldwide. The maximum of DCC values in Ukraine is expected around February 7, 2022 (see the solid blue line in figure 1). More exact and long-term predictions can be done with the use of the generalized SIR model [2,3,8,10,11]. Recent simulations for Ukraine, Poland, Germany and the whole world [10,11] were based on the datasets corresponding to the periods before “omicron” waves and have to be updated.

The pandemic dynamics in Australia differs significantly from all other countries and regions considered in our study. The DCC values in 2020-2021 exceed 10-800 times corresponding values in 2021-2022 (compare red solid and dashed lines in figure 2). The DDC values were close to zero in 2020-2021 and close to the corresponding values for other countries in 2021-2022 (compare solid and dashed lines in figures 3,4). This is surprising, because in early 2022, Australia has reached a relatively high level of vaccination (see tables 5,6 “circles” and “crosses” in figures 1-6). The explanation for these facts should be sought in the weakened quarantine measures and the reduction in the testing level.

Figure 3: Averaged daily number of deaths per capita and vaccination levels for northern region in September-January, 2020, 2021, and 2022 (Ukraine – blue, EU- yellow, USA – red, UK – magenta, the whole world –black). Lines correspond to DDC*1000 values calculated with the use of eqs. (1), (2), table 3 (2020 and 2021, dashed), and table 4 (2021 and 2022, solid). “Circles” and “crosses” show the numbers of fully vaccinated people and boosters per hundred, respectively (2021 and 2022, tables 5,6).
Figure 4: Averaged daily number of new deaths per capita and vaccination levels for southern region in September-January, 2020, 2021, and 2022 (Argentina – blue, India - yellow, Brazil – green, South Africa – magenta, Australia-red, and the whole world –black). Lines correspond to DDC*1000 values calculated with the use of eqs. (1), (2), table 3 (2020 and 2021, dashed), and table 4 (2021 and 2022 solid). “Circles” and “crosses” show the numbers of fully vaccinated people and boosters per hundred, respectively (2021 and 2022, tables 5,6).
Figure 5: Averaged deaths per case ratios and vaccination levels for northern region in September-January, 2020, 2021, and 2022 (Ukraine – blue, EU- yellow, USA – red, UK – magenta, the whole world –black). Lines correspond to DDC*1000 values calculated with the use of eqs. (1), (2), table 3 (2020 and 2021, dashed), and table 4 (2021 and 2022, solid). “Circles” and “crosses” show the numbers of fully vaccinated people and boosters per hundred, respectively (2021and 2022, tables 5,6).
Figure 6: Averaged deaths per case ratios and vaccination levels for southern region in September-January, 2020, 2021, and 2022 (Argentina – blue, India - yellow, Brazil – green, South Africa – magenta, Australia-red, and the whole world –black). Lines correspond to DDC/DCC values calculated with the use of eqs. (1), (2), table 3 (2020 and 2021, dashed), and table 4 (2021 and 2022, solid). “Circles” and “crosses” show the numbers of fully vaccinated people and boosters per hundred, respectively (2021 and 2022, tables 5,6).

According to the statistical analysis performed in [9], the numbers of tests per capita TC do not affect the CC, DC, and CC/DC values, but the increase in the number of tests per case TC/CC can reduce CC and DC values. In particular, CC figures can tend to zero when TC/CC exceeds some critical value 520 (in the case of DC, the critical values TC/CC are 460 and 198 for the whole world and Europe, respectively), [9]. In Australia, the TC/CC figures were close to the critical values before September 2021 (394.45, December 30, 2020 and 562.6, September 1, 2021), but later they start to decrease rapidly (238.83, November 14, 2021 and 28.54, January 20, 2022; all the values were calculated with the use of information available in [5]). Where the level of testing was consistently maintained above the critical level (for example, in Hong Kong TC/CC=​1984.5 on August 31, 2021 and TC/CC =​ 2386.1 on December 28, 2021; [5]), almost complete control of the pandemic was achieved (the smoothed daily numbers of new cases per million were 0.681 on September 1, 2021 and 1.778 on December 31, 2021 in Hong Kong, [5]). Thus, the significant increase of the testing levels can be recommended as a unique way to stop the pandemic. Unfortunately, existing vaccines cannot do this.

Nevertheless, vaccinations reduce mortality. Figures 3,4 illustrate the influence of vaccination levels on the daily numbers of deaths per capita. In October-November 2021 the DDC values became smaller than corresponding values in 2020 for UK, USA, EU and the whole world (compare solid and dashed magenta, red, yellow, and black lines in figure 3) These countries and regions have much higher vaccination levels than Ukraine (see markers in figure 3), where DDC values in 2021 were much higher than in 2020 (compare blue solid and dashed lines in figure 3). In Argentina and Brazil the DDC values were smaller in 2021 in comparison with 2020 (compare solid and dashed blue and green lines in figure 4). In less vaccinated India and South Africa (see markers in figure 4), DDC values in 2021 were sometimes higher than in 2020 (compare solid and dashed yellow and magenta lines in figure 4). These facts support the conclusion of paper [7] that vaccinations can diminish the numbers of death per capita. The efficiency of boosters needs special statistical analysis.

The case of Australia (red lines and markers in figure 4) was already discussed before. Due to the very high testing level TC/CC, this country had almost zero level of mortality in 2020 (see the dashed red line in figure 4). After a rapid diminishing of the TC/CC ratio after September 2021, the DDC values increased drastically (see the solid red line) despite a fairly high level of vaccinations (see red markers in figure 4).

The number of deaths per case is an important characteristic indicating the probability of death in the case of infection. Knowing of this ratio is important for individuals in order to decide on their vaccination. Comparing these mortality rates in different countries with the same levels of vaccinations allows making conclusions about the efficiency of treatments. The average DDC/DCC values calculated with the of smoothed DDC and DCC numbers (according to eqs. (1) and (2) and tables 1-4) are shown in figures 5,6 for northern and southern regions, respectively.

A positive impact of vaccinations is visible almost for all the countries and regions. Solid lines indicate decrease of mortality in 2021-2022 (compare with dashed lines corresponding to 2020-2021). Opposite trend is visible for Ukraine (compare blue dashed and solid lines in figure 5) and can be explained by the lower levels of vaccination (compare markers in figure 5). The increase of DCC/DCC values in South Africa (see the magenta solid line in figure 6) can be also explained by insufficient level of vaccination in this country (compare markers in figure 6).

The mortality rates DDC/DCC versus percentage of fully vaccinated people (“circles”) and boosters (“crosses”) are shown in figures 7 and 8 for northern and southern regions, respectively. To illustrate the “omicron” waves we use large markers for the period after November 12, 2021. The best fitting lines, linking the DDC/DCC values with the percentage of fully vaccinated people VC can be written as follows:

Figure 7: Averaged deaths per case ratios versus vaccination levels for northern region (Ukraine – blue, EU- yellow, USA – red, UK – magenta, the whole world –black). “Circles” and “crosses” correspond to the numbers of fully vaccinated people and boosters per hundred, respectively (Tables 5,6). Small markers correspond to the period before November 12, 2021; large - for later period. Black solid and dashed lines represent correlation equations (3) (for the whole world) and (4) (for Europe), respectively.
Figure 8: Averaged deaths per case ratios versus vaccination levels for southern region in September-January, 2020, 2021, and 2022 (Argentina – blue, India - yellow, Brazil – green, South Africa – magenta, Australia-red, and the whole world –black). “Circles” and “crosses” correspond to the numbers of fully vaccinated people and boosters per hundred, respectively (Tables 5,6). Small markers correspond to the period before November 12, 2021; large – for later period. The black solid line represents correlation equations (3) for the whole world.

(DDC/DCC) = 0.0227 - 2.8822e-04*(VC) (3)

(DDC/DCC) = 0.0194 - 2.3335e-04*(VC) (4)

They are shown in figures 7,8 by solid and dashed lines, respectively. Relationships (3) and (4) are the results of correlation analysis performed in [9] for countries and regions in the whole world and Europe, respectively with the use of JHU datasets corresponding September 1, 2021.

It can be seen that averaged DDC/DCC values can be rather scattered, especially for countries or periods with low vaccination levels : Ukraine (blue “circles” in figure 7), South Africa (magenta “circles” in figure 8), India (yellow “circles” in figure 8), Argentina (blue “circles” in figure 8). Nevertheless, the mortality rate diminishes with the increase of VC values and tends to the relationships (3) and (4). The same trend is visible for the percentage of boosters (see “crosses” in figures 7,8). The only one exception is the UK (see magenta “crosses” in figure 8). This country has the highest level of boosters, nevertheless the DDC/DCC values have started to increase in January 2022. In any case, the influence of boosters needs special investigations.

The third year of the pandemic allowed us to compare the pandemic dynamics in the period from September 2020 to January 2021 with the same period one year later for Ukraine, EU, the UK, USA, India, Brazil, South Africa, Argentina, Australia, and in the whole world. The presented results indicate the feasibility of vaccination, although it does not prevent infection. But those who are vaccinated are much less likely to die (this may also indicate a milder course of the disease).

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